As those wonderful NYT polls are coming in, keep in mind district polling at this point in the campaign has underestimate the side that won the House popular vote in 06, 08, 10, 12, 14, and 16. In the wave years of 06, 10, 14, it really did. https://t.co/kzJidcBHog
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 15, 2018
Republicans – men and women – embrace Trump in their ads; Democratic women laser focused on health care (@wesmediaproject) details: https://t.co/D7oQ33qO2C pic.twitter.com/yNptIveQ5g
— OpinionToday.com (@OpinionToday) September 15, 2018
If you're a voter in North Dakota, your vote is 26x more important in determining the fate of the Senate than the average American voter's. https://t.co/LUBG6Osgma pic.twitter.com/3xOhgi5LvI
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 12, 2018
New evidence shows that the midterm elections will be the clearest referendum on a president in at least 80 years. https://t.co/ChcSBb2xNN
— Dana Milbank (@Milbank) September 15, 2018
Democrats: 48.8%
Republicans: 39.7%https://t.co/5HUIDZs1De— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 13, 2018
Republicans' chances in 2018 just keep getting bleaker | Analysis by @CillizzaCNN https://t.co/psBaNKDsCC pic.twitter.com/55MPLhnhkF
— CNN (@CNN) September 13, 2018
Opinion: The anti-Trump backlash is gathering force. These new polls confirm it. https://t.co/vkTKN1wRxC
— Washington Post (@washingtonpost) September 12, 2018
A FiveThirtyEight Election Update pic.twitter.com/xYzhmCu7r6
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 12, 2018
Just as Rs are far from doomed in the House, they are far from safe in the Senate. Dems need to gain a net of 2 seats to take control of the Senate and they have 5 plausible opportunities: Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas and (most debatably) Mississippi. https://t.co/zHFPWKCiDj
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 13, 2018
Whoa! Lots of new Senate polls, all within the margin of error.
Arizona: Sinema (D) 47-44
Indiana: Braun (R) 45-43
Missouri: McCaskill (D) 44-41
North Dakota: Cramer (R) 48-44
Tennessee: Blackburn (R) 47-44 https://t.co/VnBRDNJdHO— Steven Shepard (@POLITICO_Steve) September 12, 2018
Democrats need 23 seats to recapture the House
in mid-term elections since WW2, presidents below 50% approval have lost an average of 36 seats
Trump is 10 points below 50%
my @cnbc column https://t.co/5FzBjIxqcU
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) September 12, 2018
Two interesting tidbits about the battle for the Senate:
1) Dems think they're currently ahead in Tennessee
2) National Dems are not ruling out an investment in Beto O'Rourke in Texas
That and much more in my interview with @jbpoersch of @MajorityPAC:https://t.co/CSm9yaTOZy
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) September 13, 2018
Republicans are losing ground in midterm polls
There are 8 (!!) Senate races w/RCP Avgs currently less 4 points: AZ (McSally +0.3), TN (Bredesen +0.3), MO (Hawley + 0.5), NV (Rosen +1.3), ND (Cramer +1.6), FL (Scott +2.2), TX (Cruz +3.2), and IN (Donnelly +3.8)https://t.co/ijjj5sX3BV
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) September 13, 2018
This kind of says it all. https://t.co/yWSIf0S6Rk pic.twitter.com/wsdkD3T1cY
— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) September 14, 2018
Sad! 