Someone was nailed. https://t.co/sZBq0uaPuf
— David Corn (@DavidCornDC) September 18, 2018
The polls are pointing toward a wave in the House, with an average projected gain of 35 to 40 seats for Dems. And yet, Democrats are at risk of losing several of their own Senate seats, which could offset any gains they may make among GOP-held seats. https://t.co/tlD8ehutA3
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 18, 2018
Expected all of that except VA02. Interesting https://t.co/7RRzrfKseg
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 18, 2018
Democrats: 48.8%
Republicans: 39.8%https://t.co/5HUIDZs1De— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 18, 2018
Most Democratic incumbents are doing worse than the "fundamentals" would predict. https://t.co/tlD8ehutA3 pic.twitter.com/0sRlX4VnC7
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 18, 2018
A RNC internal poll finds the GOP is in danger due to complacent Trump voters. That's good. But wouldn't it be great to obliterate them with a #BlueWave? https://t.co/qbESRVJjCg pic.twitter.com/ozDYEMXq9f
— The Blue Wave 🌊 (@BlueWaveVoters) September 18, 2018
If a man raised from birth by the conservative movement isn't running on conservatism in a red state, is there any appeal left for right-wing ideas? https://t.co/JuT1iTnjM0 pic.twitter.com/Xg2OnRIunl
— Jonathan Chait (@jonathanchait) September 18, 2018
WISCONSIN
U.S. Senate:
Tammy Baldwin (D) 53%
Leah Vukmir (R) 42%
(Marquette Law School Poll, LV, 9/12-16/18)— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 18, 2018
VIRGINIA
U.S. Senate:
Tim Kaine (D) 52%
Corey Stewart (R) 36%
Matt Waters (L) 5%
(U. of Mary Washington / SSRS, LV, 9/4-9/18)— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 18, 2018
Dems pulling out stops, yet Greg Orman persistedhttps://t.co/NqwuzVZfRS
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) September 18, 2018
We have now reached the stage where roughly every five minutes there is a poll released that is guaranteed to make Democrats or Republicans feel their stomach drop. And there are still seven weeks to go. https://t.co/fZsJNSyJ0f
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) September 18, 2018
TEXAS
U.S. Senate:
Ted Cruz (R) 54%
Beto O'Rourke (D) 45%
(Quinnipiac U. Poll, LV, 9/11-17/18)— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 18, 2018
Health care is the #1 subject of Dem campaign ads. Here are a few of them, with my color commentary. (Sadly, there were only a few metaphors.) https://t.co/LjY1GTJPQt
— Margot Sanger-Katz (@sangerkatz) September 17, 2018
I found it! The single most important Senate race in the country!https://t.co/uiHAc4Z7h0 pic.twitter.com/1DWD5L64QZ
— Chris Cillizza (@CillizzaCNN) September 17, 2018
We've polled 12 of the 30 races characterized as "toss-up" by the Cook Political Report, and the overall margin is Dem 45.4, Rep 44.3
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 17, 2018
What a disaster for the GOP. https://t.co/xVhbqYCaf9
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 17, 2018
Knowing who’s truly “ahead” in a poll involves a lot more than reading the top line numbers.
For example, I’d *much* rather be Sean Casten (D), who’s trailing by one in #IL06 (Clinton +7) than Paul Davis (D), who leads by one in #KS02 (Trump +18). https://t.co/7dexcV9uRJ
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) September 16, 2018
More warning signs for the Senate GOP. New CNN poll: In Arizona, Sinema tops Republican Rep. Martha McSally by 7 points, 50% to 43%, while in Tennessee, Bredesen holds a 5-point edge over Rep. Marsha Blackburn, 50% to 45%
— Manu Raju (@mkraju) September 17, 2018
Things that aren't in the 2018 script: Sen. Joe Manchin being ahead by more in West Virginia (45-33 in a new Emerson poll) than Sen. Tina Smith in Minnesota (47-37 in a new Mason-Dixon poll).
— Taniel (@Taniel) September 17, 2018
Heart of 2018 midterms: By 58%-27%, respondents want Congress to be more of a check on Pres. Trump. New Quinnipiac poll also shows 14% generic edge for Dems—well more than needed for a D House majority. Generic average now=+8.4% D.
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) September 12, 2018
They deserve what they get for listening to Trump
.@MaddowBlog: Trump keeps telling the Republican base, "There will not be a Blue Wave." The problem for the GOP is that these voters believe him. https://t.co/m9Yd5goV7p
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) September 17, 2018
Sad! 