Some of the same grass-roots energy coursing through the Democratic Party has spilled into the corporate boardrooms of American finance https://t.co/68X2S88RvW
— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) October 8, 2018
"Average citizens — by their indifference and, yes, their ignorance — have placed our republic in great danger." https://t.co/YuVEmmx83Y (via @latimesopinion)
— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) October 8, 2018
We can never let it pass unremarked upon that it requires a lead of over 7 points for Dems to even have a fighting chance to win a bare majority in the "people's chamber." https://t.co/fYHdlXWVDs
— Michael Linden (@MichaelSLinden) October 7, 2018
Vulnerable House Republicans have to lead double lives these days if they hope to hang on https://t.co/nkZIyn4Qgq
— POLITICO (@politico) October 8, 2018
Will Iowa voters who flipped for Trump have "buyer's remorse" in 2018?
https://t.co/rlPF8A214Y pic.twitter.com/gdA2YRmzuh— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 8, 2018
Over the past two years, conservative evangelicals have made it clear that charges of sexual assault, pedophilia, extramarital affairs with porn stars etc. aren’t dealbreakers when it comes to their support for Republicans. I doubt this will even register. https://t.co/ksiMfeywmr
— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) October 6, 2018
Four years ago, there was a bonanza of Senate polls on this Sunday. Today? Not even a flicker. https://t.co/3rSXw2Z6e3
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 7, 2018
HEY WE GOT SENATE POLLS. https://t.co/M6GCstKuEG
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 7, 2018
AZ: +3 Sinema, FL: Nelson +2, IN: Donnelly +3, MO: McCaskill +1, MT: Tester +6, ND: Cramer +4, NJ: Menendez: +8, NV: Rosen +1, TN: Blackburn +2, TX: Cruz +3, WV: Manchin +8. Mean: GOP +1, Median: no change.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 7, 2018
This is the mirror image of the Senate where Dems lead in more races than they are projected to win. https://t.co/pF2LDXrPbB
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 7, 2018
“I can’t look away.” The countdown to the midterms is on as Americans wonder what the heck is going on. https://t.co/ilLx9K3ZLp
— Washington Post (@washingtonpost) October 7, 2018
Defiant Republicans hope Kavanaugh fight will stoke their voters next month https://t.co/K4Cm8eanr9
— Washington Post (@washingtonpost) October 7, 2018
We have the D's generic ballot/popular vote lead trending toward +7.5 or so. So while the topline numbers in our House forecast haven't changed much, we've crossed an important conceptual threshold where the eke-it-one-district-at-a-time scenario is back on the table for the GOP.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
This is too narrow. The 538 model gives Dems a 10% chance of *52* seats or better….and GOP a >10% shot of 55 seats or better. Plenty of seats remain in play, and quite possible they'll all fall the same way. https://t.co/GYdLPTQUpB
— Jonathan Bernstein (@jbview) October 7, 2018
This is pretty interesting https://t.co/vJ2Pf7kyq0
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
Unprecedented cash: @repbenraylujan @chairmanDCCC at Bloomberg Roundtable says 3rd-quarter fundraising for Democratic House candidates will show 60 have raised more than $1 million, 30 over $2 million, 8 over $3 million. (Also: They’ve seen a #Kavanaugh bump.) pic.twitter.com/Jv379sipsc
— Susan Page (@SusanPage) October 4, 2018
Who's undecided? Less educated voters, which might mean upside for the Republicans in the north and upside for Democrats in the Sun Belt… if they can take advantage of it https://t.co/KDkmENaAoj
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 6, 2018
Partially. The GOP has other geographic advantages as well. But I do think the race for the House would essentially be over without gerrymandering, and it would be something more like a true tossup on the 2014 map, before VA/PA/NC/FL were redrawn. https://t.co/dCdQTtLdNT
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 7, 2018
Republican members of the Franklin County, OH Board of Elections blocked a plan to spend up to $275,000 to advertise the November general election and the start of early voting next week. https://t.co/Bgz5tvFurY
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 7, 2018
In the past three midterm elections, final results have skewed +3 in the @GOP’s favor from the average poll margin a month beforehand. https://t.co/2AgHYziCh3
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) October 7, 2018
Why this may be one of the most important midterm elections ever https://t.co/j0K02Glrdn
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 7, 2018
The Post is reporting on the midterm elections with student journalists across the U.S. Here’s the first in a four-part series from the University of Florida: https://t.co/l1KtMqinn9
— Washington Post (@washingtonpost) October 7, 2018
Ohio Gov. John Kasich talks about the midterm elections: “The Congress is disrespected, the press is disrespected, the Justice Department is disrespected, and the court is beginning to lose respect. That is a bad place for our country to be and we’ve got to stop it” #CNNSOTU pic.twitter.com/YwejCn8z08
— CNN Breaking News (@cnnbrk) October 7, 2018
A secondary Q is: Did the manner in which they went about getting Kavanaugh confirmed—call it cutthroat or whatever—help them politically, e.g. in terms of the midterm elections?
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
This has always been the danger for the Democrats. The GOP's one big, potential advantage in this election is the House's political geography. If they could take advantage of it, by driving House results towards pres results, it's a very long night, even in a 06/10-type wave.
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 7, 2018
Currently, the *average* Senate seat is about 6 points more Republican than the country overall (because smaller-population states happen to be more Republican right now). Adding DC and PR as states would reduce that advantage to about 2 points instead. https://t.co/kkP6zSFK50
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
Sad! 