A Harvard University poll found that 40 percent of young people ages 18 to 29 said they would “definitely vote” in the upcoming midterm elections — and that sixty-six percent of the likely voters surveyed preferred Democrats to win Congress. https://t.co/LuzbgjvPcl
— The Atlantic (@TheAtlantic) October 29, 2018
There’s a lot of data in this, especially that the WH is basically going all-in on Senate and Gov races. Many of the states on this list (TN, MO, IN) have no competitive House races, implying that the WH accepts the CW the House is likely lost.
Also, no NV, AZ, or ND. https://t.co/JPsdKLaPvL
— Justin Slaughter (@JBSDC) October 29, 2018
I'm not really sure what exactly happened in Michigan, but the poll margin in that race got cut in half in a very short period of time. Stabenow still has a sizable lead, but more like 10 instead of 20.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 29, 2018
With election day just over a week away, the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll shows the "hold your nose and vote" brigade leans toward the Democrats https://t.co/THUk0vJyxp
— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) October 29, 2018
FLORIDA
Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 43%
Andrew Gillum (D) 48%
(NYT Upshot/Siena College, LV, 10/23-27/18)— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) October 29, 2018
The White House announces that Trump will hold 11 campaign rallies in 8 states over the final 6 days of the campaign.
Oct. 31: Florida
Nov. 1: Missouri
Nov. 2: West Virginia, Indiana
Nov. 3: Montana, Florida
Nov. 4: Georgia, Tennessee
Nov. 5: Ohio, Indiana, Missouri— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 29, 2018
Because of this effort, the quality of the average House poll this year has been the highest since at least 2006. https://t.co/AgTnCd0lPv
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 29, 2018
This climate skeptic could lose his House race after his district was flooded by a hurricane https://t.co/oQBPNWLFGt pic.twitter.com/EKccKVonPy
— Mother Jones (@MotherJones) October 29, 2018
Where Donald Trump is going in the final week of the 2018 campaign — and whyhttps://t.co/jz7WTLbGnv
— Chris Cillizza (@CillizzaCNN) October 29, 2018
This is an illustrative snapshot of 2018 spending: CLF has put the most money on the air of any individual group, but pro-Dem groups have a huge advantage overall https://t.co/qncqmd7yvf
— Alex Burns (@alexburnsNYT) October 29, 2018
Hard to overstate what a big plot twist the huge Dem spending advantage is. Every R theory of the case, as recently as a few months ago, involved a big upper hand on TV to disqualify Dem challengers in swing districts.
— Alex Burns (@alexburnsNYT) October 29, 2018
“I think we’ll have a suburban wave. A lot of the districts that we are most likely to lose are Democratic-leaning, they’re just going to what their modern DNA is.”
– @lieslhickey on 2018 as a realignment cycle in burbs a la 2010 in rural areas https://t.co/blTAOll0yN
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 28, 2018
Wow — Bloomberg throwing $900k into Georgia 7, a changing district where the incumbent, Rob Woodall, has not run 1 TV ad & Dem polling shows a competitive race >>https://t.co/TYSKOkb5vl https://t.co/SDMUzRueva
— Alex Burns (@alexburnsNYT) October 28, 2018
Steve King on his support for European far-right white nationalist groups: “If they were in America pushing the platform that they push, they would be Republicans.”https://t.co/a5by2aCpbq
— Dan Eggen (@DanEggenWPost) October 29, 2018
Sad! 