Few Republican candidates have been more embarrassingly and clumsily dishonest about their vote to destroy the ACA and protections for pre-existing conditions than @RepMcSally. It’s really something. https://t.co/eqAvplsG9d
— Jon Favreau (@jonfavs) November 4, 2018
Battlegrounds as defined within this poll: 69 seats, 63 held by GOP. If Dems lead by 5 among those seats (gerrymandering already taken into consideration), that's a big advantage. Dem +8 is in line with other generic ballots. Should be about a 40 seat Dem pickup.
— Aaron Astor (@AstorAaron) November 4, 2018
28 states + DC surpassed their 2014 total #earlyvote:
AZ, DC, DE, FL, GA, ID, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, ME, MD, MI, MN, MO, MS, MT, NC, ND, NJ, NM, OK, SC, TN, VA, WI, and WV
2 states surpassed their 2014 total vote (early + Election Day):
NV and TX
— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) November 4, 2018
GOP Rep. Martha McSally is serving up a two-part closing argument in her neck-and-neck Senate race: The economy is strong, and my opponent’s too liberal for Arizona https://t.co/frtkd87zqX
— POLITICO (@politico) November 4, 2018
JUST IN: 80% of registered voters say they’re certain to vote this year or already have done so, per new @ABC News/WaPo poll, compared with 65% at this point in 2014 and 71% in 2010. https://t.co/oDSIUkhF3g pic.twitter.com/UH6z5W6yqO
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) November 4, 2018
Democrats and Republicans have very different goals on health care, taxes and regulation if they win congressional majorities on Tuesday. @TracyJan and @daveweigel lay it out. https://t.co/fMsbniIBY3
— Terri Rupar (@terri_rupar) November 3, 2018
Over $5 Billion to be spent by candidates on midterm elections. One of the most obvious ways US democratic system is broken.
— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) November 3, 2018
1/ NEW: #EarlyVoting turnout in the 2018 midterms surpassed turnout from the 2012 presidential election in the 30 counties where most registered voters in Texas live.
That means more than 4,884,528 Texans voted early.
That's a lot.#Midterms2018 https://t.co/KHsTBiCL40 pic.twitter.com/cSRKPUadyX
— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) November 3, 2018
PSA: there are three distinct media vote counts this year.
Each is conducted in its own way.For whom- by whom
NYT, WaPo, Fox, Politico, LATimes, most major newspapers- APABC, CBS, CNN, NBC- Edison
BuzzFeed, Reuters, Vox, 270toWin, ConservativeReview, The New Yorker- DDHQ
— Brandon Finnigan (@B_M_Finnigan) November 2, 2018
At Trump Rallies, Women See a Hero Protecting a Way of Life https://t.co/BYOPv9V7q9
— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) November 3, 2018
By the time it's over, the 2018 midterms will have smashed the previous midterm spending record, with candidates spending a combined $5.2 billion. https://t.co/fyATyuxqQ6
— Axios (@axios) November 3, 2018
The 2018 midterms, by the numbers https://t.co/i0JFcUJc4B
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) November 3, 2018
How disinformation and conspiracy culture are convincing young people they don’t know enough to vote: https://t.co/NlnLTWBI3z pic.twitter.com/6LfRhUmpVz
— Slate (@Slate) November 3, 2018
WATCH: Progressive group trolls Cruz with ad of Trump repeatedly calling him a liar https://t.co/VwXbUv2jqY pic.twitter.com/9CvtNpOXrR
— The Hill (@thehill) November 3, 2018
Dems faring very well heading into our final day of polling. https://t.co/In7dbtEnQ9
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 3, 2018
Stressed out Democrats are eating their feelings, drinking heavily and over-exercising to get themselves through the midterms, according to a new poll. https://t.co/eQUTICvqVg
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) November 3, 2018
It's not the 'Year of the Woman.' It's the 'Year of the Women' @CNN https://t.co/JO1wdPRhGk – Honored to have my mini-article featured along with writing from @kurtbardella @K_JeanPierre @VanJones68 @sallykohn @thelauracoates @carriesheffield @tamisawyer @dawnlaguens #VOTE!
— Kristin Rowe-Finkbei (@rowefinkbeiner) November 3, 2018
IOWA
Governor:
Kim Reynolds (R) 44%
Fred Hubbell (D) 46%
Jake Porter (L) 2%
(Des Moines Register/Mediacom/Selzer & Co., LV, 10/30 – 11/2/18)— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) November 3, 2018
Before @realdonaldtrump rallies in Florida, a look at all of our fact-checks in #FLSen and #FLGov including attacks by and about @AndrewGillum @RonDesantisFL @Scottforflorida @SenBillNelson https://t.co/cppzG0eH0y pic.twitter.com/12hKTFgvGB
— PolitiFact (@PolitiFact) November 3, 2018
DeSantis surrogates' closing message: the governor's race 'so cotton-pickin' important' #FLGov https://t.co/18fsyuICWN
— Kevin Donohoe (@kevinsidonohoe) November 3, 2018
If you won’t vote for the sake of democracy, do it to save this adorable kitten: https://t.co/eOQ6KMaHZ5 pic.twitter.com/LtD40fBcpD
— Slate (@Slate) November 3, 2018
The governors could be the big story on Tuesday. https://t.co/v97t9bAKR0
— Charles P. Pierce (@CharlesPPierce) November 3, 2018
Senate polls: Fox News
ARIZONA
Sinema (D) 46%
McSally (R) 46%INDIANA
Donnelly (D) 45%
Braun (R) 38%MISSOURI
Hawley (R) 43%
McCaskill (D) 43%TENNESSEE
Blackburn (R) 50%
Bredesen (D) 41%NORTH DAKOTA
Cramer (R) 51%
Heitkamp (D) 42%— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 1, 2018
The NSA, which failed to respond when Russian hackers were first seen inside the DNC's computer systems in 2015, has now taken to sending messages directly to Russian hackers, reminding them that they are being watched. https://t.co/xpawRK7ccw
— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) November 2, 2018
New poll finds Stacey Abrams could avoid a runoff against Brian Kemp https://t.co/fCGbyUPJou
— Salon (@Salon) November 2, 2018
British magazine @TheEconomist gives the #Democrats 86% odds of winning the majority of seats in the House on Tuesday.@ChrisBastianBkl https://t.co/3XHusf1YIo pic.twitter.com/YkRC51chdS
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) November 2, 2018
Watch now on @ MSNBC:@SteveKornacki breaks down all the information you need to know heading into the final weekend before Election Day. #TrackingKornacki pic.twitter.com/vKsbnxeYpm
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) November 3, 2018
Early voting to four days before the election, 2014 versus 2018 pic.twitter.com/W69EALwALu
— Maddow Blog (@MaddowBlog) November 3, 2018
Could something else explain Heitkamp and McCaskill’s troubles, something the forecast model can’t measure?
Gender perhaps?https://t.co/AwZhsaeS41
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 3, 2018
If polls are right, Democrats project to win the popular vote by 8-9 points on Tuesday. That's a lot; bigger than the GOP margins in 1994 and 2010. https://t.co/dkWlyfpsGc
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2018
“Democrats should be walking away with the midterms. That they are not is because they have consistently underestimated the president’s political gifts, while missing the deeper threat his presidency represents.” https://t.co/zbmXcK7SeT
— Katty Kay (@KattyKayBBC) November 3, 2018
"I don't need Trump as my moral compass," said Kelli Warren, 54, Atlanta.
"We hired him to run the country, not raise our children," said Christine Becnel, 49, Atlanta. https://t.co/xKgDzFV30R
— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) November 3, 2018
Dem chances to gain 23+ seats in the various quant House models:@ORACLE_of_Blair — 76%@FiveThirtyEight — Lite / Classic / Deluxe — 78% / 85% / 82%
Economist/@gelliottmorris — 86%
Optimus/@DecisionDeskHQ — 95%So for better or worse, these things are in pretty good consensus.*
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2018
This is so true. Pundits have no clue. https://t.co/mg4jhtXyNF
— Jeb Bush (@JebBush) November 2, 2018
"But there has never been a president for whom the falsification of fact has been to such an extent the driving engine of allegiance." Exactly. The great Simon Schama nails what's different about the lying this time. Wish I had written that sentence. https://t.co/ZeEgThInqm
— Jay Rosen (@jayrosen_nyu) November 3, 2018
Sad! 