still more good analysis and new results
"The impact of the 2018 elections was not felt squarely in Washington, D.C. Indeed, local politics proved to be fertile ground for progressive organizing, with potentially profound policy impacts." https://t.co/RIrJiIxaPV
— The Daily Beast (@thedailybeast) November 16, 2018
The day after the Nov. 6 election, President Trump claimed the results represented a “tremendous success.” But most of his supporters aren't buying that, a new postelection survey shows. https://t.co/FsFd8dgEX9
— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) November 16, 2018
House national popular vote: DEM 52.8% REP 45.5% https://t.co/Z9cKBg2v0M
— Robert Mackey (@RobertMackey) November 16, 2018
Turnout update: Now at estimated 116.2 million votes cast in the 2018 general election or a turnout rate of 49.3%. This is the highest midterm turnout rate since 1914's 50.4% and the first midterm election to top 100 million votes https://t.co/uab97udAQr
— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) November 16, 2018
Trump offered his view of how the midterms should be considered. Here is my view of his view. https://t.co/BxcSA0nNah
— Philip Bump (@pbump) November 16, 2018
A different kind of story from Obama-Trump country.
Not a Trump voter sitting in a diner. An Obama defender serving food in a restaurant, while trying to reclaim his party's lost territory. https://t.co/Mots4hieXd
— Alec MacGillis (@AlecMacGillis) November 16, 2018
Democrats have now flipped the AZ, CO, and MI secretary of state offices, with GA to be decided in a runoff and NH (elected by the legislature) likely to go from a conservative Dem to a liberal Dem. https://t.co/OcVTuFg6cB
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) November 16, 2018
NBC News House calls as of 11/16:
DEM: 231 (+36)
GOP: 199Uncalled races:
California 39
Georgia 7
New Mexico 2
North Carolina 9
Utah 4— Michael Del Moro (@MikeDelMoro) November 16, 2018
This year, 23 states had double-digit percentage-point increases in voter turnout compared with their 1982-2014 midterm election average. https://t.co/kNYK3gMsAB pic.twitter.com/m8c2jooWVI
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 16, 2018
Gotta wonder what role the SALT cap played here, with Republican losses being especially heavy in NY, NJ and CA. https://t.co/2HL9OicXr8
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 16, 2018
The realignment speaks for self at this point, but this may not have happened if @dccc hadn’t spent real $ in the spring to ensure they weren’t locked out of the general election https://t.co/IpfsFxj0Qx
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) November 16, 2018
The Trump campaign’s hoarding and self-dealing hurt the GOP in the midterms. https://t.co/fN6dJ7lNUG pic.twitter.com/j5q2pzQdcH
— The New Republic (@newrepublic) November 14, 2018
In U.S. congressional races nationwide, an estimated 69% of Latinos voted for the Democratic candidate and 29% backed the Republican candidate, a more than two-to-one advantage for Democrats. https://t.co/YUaIb1UGCf pic.twitter.com/f0pWGgub0j
— Pew Research Fact Tank (@FactTank) November 14, 2018
February 2017, folks https://t.co/yYbWIbX3YH
— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) November 14, 2018
The last time California's House delegation was as densely Democratic as it will be next year, California had two House seats. https://t.co/exlxoWrjDB
— Philip Bump (@pbump) November 14, 2018
With four visits to Montana, President Trump helped push voters to the polls. Turnout patterns suggest that many were Democrats. https://t.co/QgtWtXmtO4 pic.twitter.com/dEsquiimCE
— Capital Journal (@WSJPolitics) November 14, 2018
The midterms blue wave shrinks states' anti-Obamacare coalition https://t.co/eK81xR9fD2 pic.twitter.com/IA37F8nnet
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) November 14, 2018
the blue wave of 2018 in a nutshell:
Republicans carried white evangelical Christians by 53 percentage points
Democrats carried everyone else by 34 points
white evangelical Christians are only one-fourth of the electoratehttps://t.co/9ExgC9WB7i
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) November 14, 2018
Commissions or courts, not partisan lawmakers, drew over 70% of the seats that went from the GOP to Dems Tuesday, a new Brennan Center analysis finds. #FairMaps https://t.co/jeN8FQz9FP
— Brennan Center (@BrennanCenter) November 15, 2018
In this year's midterms, women favored the Democratic candidate in their district by 19 percentage points (59% to 40%) while men voted for the Republican 51% to 47%. https://t.co/BlLcqFklc6 pic.twitter.com/QcHlsLR6Ss
— Pew Research Fact Tank (@FactTank) November 15, 2018
A lot of post-election analysis said "red states got redder, blue got bluer" but I think that's the wrong take. I'm struck by the way that suburbs in "red states" behaved politically a bit like their "blue state" brethren. https://t.co/ymYszxBGjC
— Kristen Soltis Anderson (@KSoltisAnderson) November 15, 2018
I'll make it prettier than this… but more voters identified as liberal in 2018 than in any exit poll since they began back in 1976… Fewer identified as moderate than in any exit poll since they began back in 1976… pic.twitter.com/NULAKFYLZm
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 16, 2018
Dem pickup, first use of Maine's new "ranked-choice voting" system in a congressional race. https://t.co/C7T86bslsu
— David Fahrenthold (@Fahrenthold) November 15, 2018
Maine 2 result: Democrat Jared Golden has won. That's a pick up for the Democrats.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 15, 2018
After officially losing the election under the system voters used to vote, Maine Republican congressman says it is officially clear he won the election under another system they did not use. https://t.co/GoFknHtLsZ
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 15, 2018
Genuinely wild to compare the demographics of Democrats who flipped seats in the 2006 wave vs. the 2018 wave.
…in 2006
– 3% POC
– 13% Women
– 23% Under 45
– 83% White men…in 2018
– 21% POC
– 68% Women
– 53% Under 45
– 24% White Men pic.twitter.com/HlfkBS21EK— Will Jordan (@williamjordann) November 16, 2018
Sad! 