Projections are underestimating the Orioles…again

Harris L Orioles, Sports March 9, 2024 1 Minute

The Orioles have crushed the projected win totals for the last two seasons. It looks like they are doing it again. I am going to wait for a while until I post my guess for the Orioles win total but it will be higher than any of these.

FanDuel over/under 89.5 wins

DraftKings over/under 90.5 wins

ZipPS (FanGraphs): 90-72

PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus) 87-75

How projection systems explain Orioles’ 2023 breakout, and how they can beat them again https://t.co/b32xCyyNwv
— The Baltimore Sun (@baltimoresun) March 8, 2024

Projected 2024 Regular Season Wins
(average, FanDuel's over/under & FanGraphs' projection):

99 ATL
98 LAD
92 HOU
91.5 NYY
87 BAL PHI
85.5 MIN TOR SEA
85 TEX TB
84 STL
83 ARI
82 CHC
81.5 SF
81 SD
80 NYM BOS
79.5 CIN
79 DET CLE
78.5 MIA MIL
76 PIT
75 LAA
74.5 KC
66 WSH
65 CWS
64.5…
— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) March 4, 2024

The projections are again doubting the Orioles. They don’t care.

“It means absolutely nothing to us. So you can put the computer away. We’ve still got to go play.”

“I don’t really care that they think the team is going to regress.” https://t.co/R6yFa7Lmnq
— Jacob Calvin Meyer (@jcalvinmeyer) February 26, 2024

Published by Harris L

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Published March 9, 2024

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