2018 elections update – 10/21/18

Even if Sri Kulkarni doesn’t succeed, his campaign will leave an infrastructure in place for the future: from waves of new Democratic voters locally, to interns and organizers schooled in community engagement who can replicate it anywhere in America. https://t.co/A8nfqCQe9N

— The Intercept (@theintercept) October 21, 2018

"These voters want someone who will keep Trump’s worst impulses in check — and they no longer have faith that Republicans will do that." https://t.co/xa6LLL11ci

— Swing Left (@swingleft) October 21, 2018

In Nevada, a midterm clash between newfound Republican organization and organized Democrats’ renewed enthusiasm https://t.co/C6qbJKWAWA

— Post Politics (@postpolitics) October 21, 2018

Why the 2018 Election Won't "All Come Down to Turnout":https://t.co/DAZ4sZgXYn

— Dave Hopkins (@DaveAHopkins) October 21, 2018

During and since 2016, Ds have focused more on identity issues and Trump criticism, diluting core economic message. The public is noticing (though harder for out party in good economy). https://t.co/TtVGKInQCm

— Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan) October 21, 2018

in new NBC/WSJ poll, education effect among white voters is powerful

college degree moves white men to +4 D (from +42 R without degree)

college degree moves white women to +33 D (from +8 R without degree)https://t.co/WZov67BCEL

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) October 21, 2018

So, this is another poll where Democrats are doing better among likely voters than registered voters. We were seeing a fair amount of that in polls this summer, but less in September, when R enthusiasm had seemed to improve. Now more pollsters are showing a D turnout edge again. https://t.co/Aso3xtPPqq

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2018

Trump's approval rating is now 47%, the highest of his presidency, per WSJ-NBC poll. Makes the midterms a "barnburner," per pollster who conducted the survey. https://t.co/c94khZf1tg

— Josh Dawsey (@jdawsey1) October 21, 2018

House polls are noisy, but the Upshot/Siena numbers were pretty bad for the GOP this week after having been a bit more equivocal in early October. Even in the Senate, there were some brighter numbers for Dems in a few races (e.g. IN) this week, but probably too little/too late.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2018

A few weeks ago, the GOP improved from being modest favorites to fairly clear favorites to hold the Senate. That's a *big* deal and would be a nice accomplishment in what looks more likely than not to be a rather blue year otherwise (e.g. in House and Gov races).

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2018

Great story https://t.co/gwg2rosZSo

— Glenn Thrush (@GlennThrush) October 21, 2018

To combat voter suppression in Dodge City, we’re raising funds and recruiting volunteers to make sure all eligible Dodge City voters are able to vote and have their vote counted. Support our Dodge City GOTV effort ➡️ https://t.co/gSH1qx0DgS

— Kansas Dems (@KansasDems) October 20, 2018

Look, we all know what he means by "unqualified": it's running for office while black. https://t.co/niebYbUi0d

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 20, 2018

.@RepMaxineWaters: Congress has not done enough to ensure the safety & security of these elections. So, they're in. They've already started to undermine some of our campaigns… they've not been able to undermine the actual election systems… it's about creating division #AMJoy pic.twitter.com/TfbYvsNp0E

— AM Joy w/Joy Reid (@amjoyshow) October 21, 2018

On Election Day, November 6th, Lyft is offering rides to the polling place for HALF OFF and Uber is offering FREE RIDES to your polling place!

No excuses! Get out and vote!#SundayMorning #SundayMotivation pic.twitter.com/bLlDJFMeeQ

— Brian Gay (@brian2596) October 21, 2018

Clark County, Nevada set a record on the first day of early voting in the state.

The Saturday turnout of nearly 22,000 as of 3 PM was already over 4,000 more than the previous record for the first day of early voting during a midterm. https://t.co/VUliiAHFVn

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 21, 2018

Election Day is less than three weeks away, but many Americans are already voting. Here's everything you need to know about what could be very eventful midterm elections: https://t.co/V6cAFPvIHC pic.twitter.com/6WGdG0znjE

— ABC News (@ABC) October 21, 2018

It is fair to conclude that the GOP has made voter suppression a central part of their election strategy for 2018. We can assume this will continue in the future.

— Marc E. Elias (@marceelias) October 21, 2018

Ginning up the deplorati base two weeks from Election Day by trading on the humanity of others. This is no different from a century and a half of picking the pockets of white Southerners while telling them they will always rate higher than black folk. #AsLongAsSomeoneIsUnderYou https://t.co/a4DmqFuYyw

— David Simon (@AoDespair) October 21, 2018

"Her fighter-pilot bio and national fundraising base pushed her past Jim Gray in the primary, and she seems to have a celebrity aura that has insulated her from one of the heaviest, harshest and falsest barrages of attack ads ever seen in a KY election." https://t.co/B97FX9Zqq0

— Democratic Coalition (@TheDemCoalition) October 21, 2018

Harry Enten helps you navigate CNN's new tool, The Forecast, which uses a vast amount of polling data and voter information to give you daily midterm election predictions https://t.co/CTjRjAHGf3 pic.twitter.com/rxbeWr1dLD

— CNN (@CNN) October 21, 2018

ICYMI: Democrats need a two-seat pickup to retake the U.S. Senate, but their efforts seem to be fading in the home stretch. Follow @ ReutersTV's midterm election coverage https://t.co/9Ly39VzcNQ pic.twitter.com/IaBKLP06gq

— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) October 21, 2018

The hutzpah of the GOP on health care this election is stunning. I’m listening right now to NY Rep. John Faso on NPR claim he’s against ACA repeal.

He voted FOR the repeal bill!!!! It ended insurance for 30m Americans!

Does the think his constituents are so stupid they forgot?

— Chris Murphy (@ChrisMurphyCT) October 20, 2018

from new NBC/WSJ poll,
America’s mid-term election in a nutshell:

it’s white men without college degrees (+42 R) against white women college graduates (+33 D), Latinos (+40 D) and African-Americans (+70 D)https://t.co/WZov67BCEL

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) October 21, 2018