Too early to read too much into these polls.
Stop hyperventilating over polls of Trump vs Biden, etc. – too early to be predictive:
— Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan) June 11, 2019
-June 1983: Mondale 49%, Reagan 39%
-June 1991: George H.W. Bush 51%, Democrat 28%, Don't know 21%
-June 1995: Dole 48%, Clinton 44%
-June 2011: Republican 44%, Obama 39%
(all Gallup data)
This is not the only poll like this, and they all kill the “electability” argument. There are people who would have voters believe that only a white man can win this election. The hopes of some candidates rely heavily upon that notion. Don’t buy it, folks. Choose who you like. https://t.co/XKBapUncmS
— Jamil Smith (@JamilSmith) June 11, 2019
Trump 41% is trending nationwide. So feel free to keep saying it.
— Ted Lieu (@tedlieu) June 12, 2019
Like this:
Americans who want pre-existing conditions to be covered 98%
Trump 41%
Or:
Support for universal background checks on guns 85%
Trump 41%
Or:@Browns win Super Bowl 51% (Sorry I'm a fan)
Trump 41% https://t.co/NhWYa5z3wh
There are some… differences by age in new Quinnipiac poll of the 2020 Democratic primary:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) June 11, 2019
Under 50 years old:
Sanders 32%
Biden 18%
Warren 16%
Buttigieg 7%
Harris 6%
50 years old and over:
Biden 41%
Warren 15%
Buttigieg 10%
Harris 9%
Sanders 5%
Sad! 