Latest coronavirus stats

Hey y'all. I have a deep dive today on how the number of *known coronavirus cases* isn't really a good way to know what's happening with the disease. Unless you know something about testing, anyway. Hope you'll check it out.https://t.co/VK7rCgBNMc

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 4, 2020

Reported US coronavirus deaths via @CNN:

5 weeks ago: 0 deaths
4 weeks ago: 17 deaths
3 weeks ago: 49 deaths
2 weeks ago: 249 deaths
1 week ago: 1,588 deaths
Right now: 7,152 deaths

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:

5 weeks ago: 64 cases
4 weeks ago: 332 cases
3 weeks ago: 2,204 cases
2 weeks ago: 18,763 cases
1 week ago: 101,242 cases
Right now: 277,953 cases

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020

Reported US coronavirus deaths

3/11: 38
3/12: 41
3/13: 49
3/14: 58
3/15: 65
3/16: 87
3/17: 111
3/18: 149
3/19: 195
3/20: 263
3/21: 323
3/22: 413
3/23: 541
3/24: 704
3/25: 938
3/26: 1,195
3/27: 1,588
3/28: 2,043
3/29: 2,419
3/30: 3,004
3/31: 3,835
4/1: 4,762
4/2: 5,949
Now: 7,152

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020

States with the 10 highest number of infections per 1,000,000 people.

New York 4767.4
New Jersey 2881
Louisiana 1970.2
Massachusetts 1290.2
Michigan 1080.5
Connecticut 1072.6
DC 925.3
Washington 866.1
Colorado647.4
Rhode Island620.2

— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) April 3, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:

4 weeks ago: 227 cases
3 weeks ago: 1,645 cases
2 weeks ago: 13,229 cases
1 week ago: 82,100 cases
Right now: 245,070 cases

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 3, 2020

NEW: Michigan is now reporting the racial breakdown of COVID-19 cases. So far, 10,791 positive cases have been reported & 417 deaths. Of that, African Americans account for 35% of cases & 40% of deaths. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, just 14.1% of MI’s population is black. pic.twitter.com/3e4dKIusFB

— Kat Stafford (@kat__stafford) April 2, 2020

In order to be on track for an estimated ~100,000 deaths from coronavirus in the United States, and a peak of ~2,500 deaths per day, the University of Washington model cited by the White House would expect 899 deaths today.

The latest @CNN number is 946 deaths reported today.

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 2, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases and deaths via @CNN:

Beginning of March: 71 cases, 1 death

End of March: 185,469 cases, 3,835 deaths

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 1, 2020

For comparison purposes, US death toll in past pandemics:

Spanish Flu, 1918-20: 675,000

H2N2, 1957-58: 116,000

H3N2, 1968: 100,000

H1N1, 2009: 12,469https://t.co/nDSii3SsGG

— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) March 31, 2020

Not a very encouraging data on the data front.

* Number of tests in the US has stagnated.
* 807 deaths recorded today vs. 511 yesterday.
* The rate of increase in detected new cases has slowed (partly because the number of tests has flattened), but they're still increasing. https://t.co/G7fcfXlBuQ

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 31, 2020

42% of people in New York City say they personally know someone who has tested positive for coronavirus via new Siena College poll out today.

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases:

3/10: 1000
3/11: 1267
3/12: 1645
3/13: 2204
3/14: 2826
3/15: 3505
3/16: 4466
3/17: 6135
3/18: 8760
3/19: 13229
3/20: 18763
3/21: 25740
3/22: 34276
3/23: 42663
3/24: 52976
3/25: 65273
3/26: 82135
3/27: 101295
3/28: 121176
3/29: 139773
Now: 160377

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:

Four weeks ago: 102
Three weeks ago: 678
Two weeks ago: 4,459
One week ago: 42,663
Right now: 160,377

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020

to understand the magnitude of the devastation in New Orleans, here's how it compares per capita to other major hotspots…

DEATHS PER 100K RESIDENTS:
– Orleans Parish, LA: 22.0
– New York City, NY: 9.1
– King County, WA: 6.5
– Detroit, MI: 5.2

— Jesse Lehrich (@JesseLehrich) March 30, 2020

US coronavirus cases via @CNN:

Four weeks ago: 89
Three weeks ago: 558
Two weeks ago: 3,485
One week ago: 32,502
Right now: 139,773

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 30, 2020

US coronavirus cases:

3/10: 1,000
3/11: 1,267
3/12: 1,645
3/13: 2,204
3/14: 2,826
3/15: 3,505
3/16: 4,466
3/17: 6,135
3/18: 8,760
3/19: 13,229
3/20: 18,763
3/21: 25,740
3/22: 34,276
3/23: 42,663
3/24: 52,976
3/25: 65,273
3/26: 82,135
3/27: 101,295
3/28: 121,176
Now: 139,773

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 30, 2020

An incredibly informative page tracking U.S. coronavirus deaths and confirmed cases — by state and county https://t.co/nqVIyabmlS

— Julie Vitkovskaya (@Julie_Vit) March 29, 2020

US coronavirus deaths:

3/1: 2
3/2: 6
3/3: 9
3/4: 11
3/5: 12
3/6: 17
3/7: 19
3/8: 21
3/9: 26
3/10: 31
3/11: 38
3/12: 41
3/13: 49
3/14: 58
3/15: 65
3/16: 87
3/17: 111
3/18: 149
3/19: 195
3/20: 263
3/21: 323
3/22: 413
3/23: 541
3/24: 704
3/25: 938
3/26: 1,195
3/27: 1,588
Now: 2,043

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 29, 2020

We just hit 2000 confirmed US deaths.

It took a month to hit 1000, and then two days for that to double.

"and officials say the worst is yet to come"https://t.co/1Efq4kKRkw pic.twitter.com/XGbtRSnQZ1

— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) March 29, 2020

The US coronavirus statistics should be coming from the federal government, not the media and universities. At some point, I expect right wing people who downplay the seriousness of the crisis to question the statistics.

— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) March 27, 2020

Since January, health authorities have identified more than 101,000 Covid-19 cases throughout the United States. So far, more than 1,500 of those patients have died. Here's a state-by-state breakdown of coronavirus cases. https://t.co/2oJzca2iHm

— CNN (@CNN) March 28, 2020

Reported US coronavirus cases and deaths via @CNN:

4 weeks ago: 61 cases, 0 deaths
3 weeks ago: 265 cases, 14 deaths
2 weeks ago: 1,899 cases, 41 deaths
1 week ago: 15,905 cases, 208 deaths
Right now: 95,174 cases, 1,451 deaths

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 27, 2020

There is, incredibly, no government agency publicly tracking all corona cases in the US.

So the NYT is doing it. https://t.co/GBPbosTpvD

— Farhad Manjoo (@fmanjoo) March 27, 2020

As the U.S. is about to be the first country to hit 100,000 official Coronavirus cases, the fatality rates are all over the place:

Italy: 10.6%
Spain: 7.8%
U.K.: 6%
France: 6%
U.S.: 1.5%
South Korea: 1.5%
Germany 0.5%

— Brian McGill (@brian_mcgill) March 27, 2020

I tweet some version of this every day, so here's today's version:

It's still very hard to make overly precise interpretations about where you are on the curve unless you know a lot about tests: how many tests, who's getting tested, how and when results are reported.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 27, 2020