Hey y'all. I have a deep dive today on how the number of *known coronavirus cases* isn't really a good way to know what's happening with the disease. Unless you know something about testing, anyway. Hope you'll check it out.https://t.co/VK7rCgBNMc
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 4, 2020
Reported US coronavirus deaths via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020
5 weeks ago: 0 deaths
4 weeks ago: 17 deaths
3 weeks ago: 49 deaths
2 weeks ago: 249 deaths
1 week ago: 1,588 deaths
Right now: 7,152 deaths
Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020
5 weeks ago: 64 cases
4 weeks ago: 332 cases
3 weeks ago: 2,204 cases
2 weeks ago: 18,763 cases
1 week ago: 101,242 cases
Right now: 277,953 cases
Reported US coronavirus deaths
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 4, 2020
3/11: 38
3/12: 41
3/13: 49
3/14: 58
3/15: 65
3/16: 87
3/17: 111
3/18: 149
3/19: 195
3/20: 263
3/21: 323
3/22: 413
3/23: 541
3/24: 704
3/25: 938
3/26: 1,195
3/27: 1,588
3/28: 2,043
3/29: 2,419
3/30: 3,004
3/31: 3,835
4/1: 4,762
4/2: 5,949
Now: 7,152
States with the 10 highest number of infections per 1,000,000 people.
— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) April 3, 2020
New York 4767.4
New Jersey 2881
Louisiana 1970.2
Massachusetts 1290.2
Michigan 1080.5
Connecticut 1072.6
DC 925.3
Washington 866.1
Colorado647.4
Rhode Island620.2
Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 3, 2020
4 weeks ago: 227 cases
3 weeks ago: 1,645 cases
2 weeks ago: 13,229 cases
1 week ago: 82,100 cases
Right now: 245,070 cases
NEW: Michigan is now reporting the racial breakdown of COVID-19 cases. So far, 10,791 positive cases have been reported & 417 deaths. Of that, African Americans account for 35% of cases & 40% of deaths. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, just 14.1% of MI’s population is black. pic.twitter.com/3e4dKIusFB
— Kat Stafford (@kat__stafford) April 2, 2020
In order to be on track for an estimated ~100,000 deaths from coronavirus in the United States, and a peak of ~2,500 deaths per day, the University of Washington model cited by the White House would expect 899 deaths today.
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 2, 2020
The latest @CNN number is 946 deaths reported today.
Coronavirus growth in Western countries: March 31 update (via @kdrum) https://t.co/aAQ4pMT1yV
— Mother Jones (@MotherJones) April 1, 2020
Reported US coronavirus cases and deaths via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) April 1, 2020
Beginning of March: 71 cases, 1 death
End of March: 185,469 cases, 3,835 deaths
For comparison purposes, US death toll in past pandemics:
— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) March 31, 2020
Spanish Flu, 1918-20: 675,000
H2N2, 1957-58: 116,000
H3N2, 1968: 100,000
H1N1, 2009: 12,469https://t.co/nDSii3SsGG
Not a very encouraging data on the data front.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 31, 2020
* Number of tests in the US has stagnated.
* 807 deaths recorded today vs. 511 yesterday.
* The rate of increase in detected new cases has slowed (partly because the number of tests has flattened), but they're still increasing. https://t.co/G7fcfXlBuQ
42% of people in New York City say they personally know someone who has tested positive for coronavirus via new Siena College poll out today.
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020
Reported US coronavirus cases:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020
3/10: 1000
3/11: 1267
3/12: 1645
3/13: 2204
3/14: 2826
3/15: 3505
3/16: 4466
3/17: 6135
3/18: 8760
3/19: 13229
3/20: 18763
3/21: 25740
3/22: 34276
3/23: 42663
3/24: 52976
3/25: 65273
3/26: 82135
3/27: 101295
3/28: 121176
3/29: 139773
Now: 160377
Reported US coronavirus cases via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 31, 2020
Four weeks ago: 102
Three weeks ago: 678
Two weeks ago: 4,459
One week ago: 42,663
Right now: 160,377
to understand the magnitude of the devastation in New Orleans, here's how it compares per capita to other major hotspots…
— Jesse Lehrich (@JesseLehrich) March 30, 2020
DEATHS PER 100K RESIDENTS:
– Orleans Parish, LA: 22.0
– New York City, NY: 9.1
– King County, WA: 6.5
– Detroit, MI: 5.2
US coronavirus cases via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 30, 2020
Four weeks ago: 89
Three weeks ago: 558
Two weeks ago: 3,485
One week ago: 32,502
Right now: 139,773
US coronavirus cases:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 30, 2020
3/10: 1,000
3/11: 1,267
3/12: 1,645
3/13: 2,204
3/14: 2,826
3/15: 3,505
3/16: 4,466
3/17: 6,135
3/18: 8,760
3/19: 13,229
3/20: 18,763
3/21: 25,740
3/22: 34,276
3/23: 42,663
3/24: 52,976
3/25: 65,273
3/26: 82,135
3/27: 101,295
3/28: 121,176
Now: 139,773
An incredibly informative page tracking U.S. coronavirus deaths and confirmed cases — by state and county https://t.co/nqVIyabmlS
— Julie Vitkovskaya (@Julie_Vit) March 29, 2020
US coronavirus deaths:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 29, 2020
3/1: 2
3/2: 6
3/3: 9
3/4: 11
3/5: 12
3/6: 17
3/7: 19
3/8: 21
3/9: 26
3/10: 31
3/11: 38
3/12: 41
3/13: 49
3/14: 58
3/15: 65
3/16: 87
3/17: 111
3/18: 149
3/19: 195
3/20: 263
3/21: 323
3/22: 413
3/23: 541
3/24: 704
3/25: 938
3/26: 1,195
3/27: 1,588
Now: 2,043
We just hit 2000 confirmed US deaths.
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) March 29, 2020
It took a month to hit 1000, and then two days for that to double.
"and officials say the worst is yet to come"https://t.co/1Efq4kKRkw pic.twitter.com/XGbtRSnQZ1
The US coronavirus statistics should be coming from the federal government, not the media and universities. At some point, I expect right wing people who downplay the seriousness of the crisis to question the statistics.
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) March 27, 2020
Since January, health authorities have identified more than 101,000 Covid-19 cases throughout the United States. So far, more than 1,500 of those patients have died. Here's a state-by-state breakdown of coronavirus cases. https://t.co/2oJzca2iHm
— CNN (@CNN) March 28, 2020
Reported US coronavirus cases and deaths via @CNN:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 27, 2020
4 weeks ago: 61 cases, 0 deaths
3 weeks ago: 265 cases, 14 deaths
2 weeks ago: 1,899 cases, 41 deaths
1 week ago: 15,905 cases, 208 deaths
Right now: 95,174 cases, 1,451 deaths
There is, incredibly, no government agency publicly tracking all corona cases in the US.
— Farhad Manjoo (@fmanjoo) March 27, 2020
So the NYT is doing it. https://t.co/GBPbosTpvD
As the U.S. is about to be the first country to hit 100,000 official Coronavirus cases, the fatality rates are all over the place:
— Brian McGill (@brian_mcgill) March 27, 2020
Italy: 10.6%
Spain: 7.8%
U.K.: 6%
France: 6%
U.S.: 1.5%
South Korea: 1.5%
Germany 0.5%
I tweet some version of this every day, so here's today's version:
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 27, 2020
It's still very hard to make overly precise interpretations about where you are on the curve unless you know a lot about tests: how many tests, who's getting tested, how and when results are reported.
