The @FiveThirtyEight generic-ballot polling average with 7 weeks until E-Day:
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) September 20, 2022
1998: D+1.6
2002: R+0.3
2006: D+9.3
2010: R+3.9
2014: R+2.2
2018: D+9.0
2022: D+1.4
Starting to get interesting! But we still haven't seen very many likely-voter polls.
In latest Fox News poll, Dems have 3 pt lead on generic ballot, over last few months it has gone from -7, -3, 0, to +3 today. GOP lead on handling inflation has gone from 19 pt lead to 15 to 9 pt lead. Dems now have larger lead on handling abortion than GOP has on inflation.
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) September 15, 2022
Fox News Poll: The generic House ballot test has moved in Democrats’ favor (Dana Blanton, Fox News) Details: https://t.co/HDiWxUh47c pic.twitter.com/W7HJIY6Ohz
— Opinion Today (@OpinionToday) September 14, 2022
Overlooked? @FoxNews says it’s modeling from its latest poll shows GOP gaining just 1 House seat & failing to win control. GOP pollster: “a small Dem edge like this would produce a very modest swing to the Rs & something close to a tie in control” https://t.co/hKKQXV8gve
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) September 14, 2022
Generic ballot #OnThisDay:
— Ferik (@On_Politike) September 13, 2022
2022:+1.3% D ( Final: ?)
2018:+8.3% D (+8.4% D)
2014:+3.9% R (+ 5.7% R)
2010:+ 7.8% R (+6.8% R)
2006:+ 9.5%D (+7.9%D)
2002:+1.4% R (+4.6%R)
1. Polls at this point are fairly predicative of final results
2. 2022 is starting to look like 2002 pic.twitter.com/n8lqAzQmP0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 13, 2022
Democrats 51% (+2)
Republicans 49%
.@Harvard–@HarrisPoll, 1,854 RV, 9/7-8https://t.co/fDtuKrxUaq
Generic Congressional Ballot:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 13, 2022
Democrats 46% (+5)
Republicans 41%
Big Village, 857 LV, 9/7-9https://t.co/20OehyVQ5o
If the election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district?
— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 8, 2022
WOMEN
Democrat 52%
Republican 39%
MEN
Democrat 42%
Republican 49%
(NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll, RV, 8/29 – 9/1/22)
more: https://t.co/l9hgFPaa1N
Now officially above D+1 in our generic ballot aggregate pic.twitter.com/9gVBAElOqI
— G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) September 7, 2022
Sad! 