NC redistricting update: Senate Republicans are planning to unveil new Congressional (and #NCGA) district maps this afternoon.
— Will Doran (@will_doran) October 18, 2023
Confirmation just now from top #ncpol redistricting official Sen. @RalphHise. Expecting similar from House Republicans, too.
IMO the only interesting Q about North Carolina congressional redistricting is what they do with NC-01 (Davis). Plausible outcomes literally range from safe D to safe R.
— Ryan Brune (@BruneElections) October 18, 2023
3 Democrats (Manning, Nickel, Jackson) are 99.9% likely to be toasted.
New Proposed NC Senate Configuration, notable incumbent Democrat @Bode4Senate gets drawn into a Trump-Budd District in the North of Wake and 2 other Biden Districts currently held by Republicans are now Trump won. pic.twitter.com/U3tEpY9jfp
— 🇺🇦North Carolina Mapper🇺🇦 (@UniteCarolina) October 18, 2023
Here's the proposed 10R-3D-1C map that would eliminate #NC06 Manning (D), #NC13 Nickel (D) and #NC14 Jackson (D) and put Davis (D) in a hard-to-win #NC01 w/ a substantially diluted Black share. https://t.co/srTVq7ROpM
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 18, 2023
As the hypothetical map below shows, it's possible to draw an outright Black majority #NC01 in the northeastern part of NC.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 18, 2023
Instead, NC Republicans' proposals dilute #NC01's Black share from 42% to 41% and 39%, respectively. A VRA lawsuit is pretty much assured here. pic.twitter.com/ghueTzgCoT
Based on my initial look at the two NC GOP congressional plans, one is a 11R-3D plan (+4R, -4D) that merges Davis & Foushee and eliminates Manning, Jackson and Nickel.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 18, 2023
The other is a 10R-3D-1C that makes Davis's #NC01 competitive and eliminates Manning, Jackson and Nickel.
JUST IN: Under both proposed NC congressional maps, Tricia Cotham, who gave Republicans a supermajority by switching parties in April, moves from Democratic U.S. Rep. Alma Adams' district to Dan Bishop's, who is creating an open seat by running for attorney general. #ncpol pic.twitter.com/vCuzyTdaG3
— Bryan Anderson (@BryanRAnderson) October 18, 2023
