The CBS poll shows how extreme Republicans are

This is even worse than I could have imagined.

Findings from a new CBS poll: "To the extent the Republican primary is a contest at all right now, it looks like it's one between Donald Trump and a sentiment one might call 'Trump fatigue.' And Trump is winning that matchup easily." https://t.co/TS4kvWYy0s
— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) May 2, 2023

Trump looks like a former president who left office popular with his party.

Top reasons GOP primary voters are backing him: his performance as president & he fights for people them.

There are two-thirds who say one reason is to show support during his legal fights. pic.twitter.com/YPdkODQhtD
— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) May 1, 2023

https://t.co/YtpTkRDrlY pic.twitter.com/BJ1OYVVVf1
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) May 2, 2023

More Republicans (24%) prefer a candidate who supports the people who entered the Capitol on Jan. 6 than one who criticizes them (15%).

6 in 10 prefer one who doesn't comment on Jan. 6.https://t.co/00UDigwJUa pic.twitter.com/Y8rWR4LfiM
— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) May 2, 2023

Interesting (if depressing) results in new CBS poll.

Q 10: In the 2024 R presidential primaries, would you prefer to vote for a candidate who

…says Trump won the 2020 election? 61% yes, 39% no.

…supports U.S. aid to Ukraine? 42% yes, 58% no. https://t.co/JY7yFCWrGs
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) May 2, 2023

Trump is evil but he understands that the extremist GOP abortion policies are unpopular

Roe v. Wade wouldn’t have been overturned without the three Trump justices. The judge who banned the abortion pill was also a Trump appointee. Still, he hasn’t gloated because he knows GOP policies are too far right for the public.

Earlier this week, I predicted that abortion politics would lead Trump to endorse a more-moderate position. It was a good prediction. https://t.co/elVM9uVdUz
— Philip Bump (@pbump) April 14, 2023

According to two participants and another source close to Trump, the ex-president has warned leaders in off-the-record conversations that Republicans risk “losing big” — in Trump’s words — unless they follow his lead. https://t.co/o7JT4ZTZT6
— Rolling Stone (@RollingStone) April 14, 2023

🚨 Another abortion warning sign for the GOP: Some pro-life PA voters who previously supported Trump are firmly against banning mifepristone — and view it as the latest example of GOP extremism and overreach. @axios https://t.co/VUkybe4OlM
— Alexi McCammond (@alexi) April 14, 2023

More polls show that cult leader Trump runs the GOP

"Almost three-quarters of Republican respondents said they view Trump very or somewhat favorably." | Trump tops DeSantis by 21 points in new South Carolina poll https://t.co/vMbJDseeBt
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) April 12, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 53% (+22)
DeSantis 31%

.@YouGovAmerica/@TheEconomist, 405 Adults, 4/1-4https://t.co/sHopdVzezF
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 5, 2023

2024 Texas Republican Primary:

Trump 52% (+32)
DeSantis 20%
Pence 5%
Haley 4%
Cruz 3%
Pompeo 2%
Ramaswamy 2%
T. Scott 1%

.@CWS_Research/@DefendTXLiberty, 1,067 LV, 3/30-4/2https://t.co/79O7BXiAKD
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 5, 2023

2024 Massachusetts Republican Primary:

Trump 45% (+24)
DeSantis 21%
Haley 9%
Pence 4%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 46% (+14)
DeSantis 32%

Opinion Diagnostics, 475 LV, 3/31-4/1https://t.co/ZwgT7NQMt4 pic.twitter.com/6rY76KN5J0
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 4, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 55% (+29)
DeSantis 26%
Pence 7%
Haley 4%
Cheney 2%
Abbott 1%
Pompeo 1%
T. Scott 1%
Noem 0%
Youngkin 0%
Ramaswamy 0%

.@MorningConsult, 3,488 RV, 3/31-4/2https://t.co/8E7nq4VZzW
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 4, 2023

First public poll out of NH in a bit. https://t.co/POPcgpefnU
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) April 4, 2023

A new poll showing the effect of Trump's indictment on 400 Republican voters. The findings show what we have known to be true for awhile now, that the indictment of Donald Trump greatly increases his support within the MAGA GOP, and secures him the 2024 Republican nomination. pic.twitter.com/eTUMoCwC90
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) April 3, 2023

Trump’s lead widens post-indictment. https://t.co/B9qavwGrvP
— Cameron Easley (@cameron_easley) April 3, 2023

More polls show that the GOP is a Trump cult

Post-indictment poll: Trump surges to largest-ever lead over DeSantis https://t.co/3g4DZyFS7b
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) April 1, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 51% (+30)
DeSantis 21%
Pence 6%
Haley 4%
Romney 2%
Cheney 2%
Pompeo 1%
Youngkin 1%
Christie 1%
Abbott 1%
T. Scott 1%
Bolton 1%
Sununu 1%
Ramaswamy 0%

McLaughlin/@realDonaldTrump Internal Poll, 452 LV, 3/31-4/1https://t.co/5m4WVcIW8q
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 2, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 52% (+31)
DeSantis 21%
Haley 5%
Pence 3%
Christie 2%
Pompeo 2%
Ramaswamy 1%
Youngkin 0%
Hogan 0%
Cheney 0%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 57% (+26)
DeSantis 31%

.@YouGovAmerica/@YahooNews, RV, 3/30-31https://t.co/ZvTcGrY0CX
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) April 2, 2023

Fox News Poll: Trump’s lead grows in GOP primary race, now over 50% support. Victoria Balara, Fox News) Details: https://t.co/VnFquzAAmW pic.twitter.com/20uHamqENz
— Opinion Today (@OpinionToday) March 30, 2023

2024 general election polls

Scary. And Quinnipiac is reputable. Results like this have been consistent.

Half the US wants fascism, or is okay with it. https://t.co/fttXPZ3ncr
— Brynn Tannehill (@BrynnTannehill) March 29, 2023

New Quinnipiac Poll has Biden up two over Trump (48% to 46%) but this is the racial breakdown:
White
Trump 50%
Biden 45%
Black
Biden 72%
Trump 23%
Hispanic
Biden 54%
Trump 41%
So polling is definitely still brokenhttps://t.co/23TgCG4J5c
— Nick Field (@nick_field90) March 29, 2023

Polls show that the GOP is a Trump cult

The poll without Trump shows how much of a cult of personality the GOP is now. Trump, Jr. is in second and he has never even run for office. I bet he runs in the future.

Post-indictment poll: Trump surges to largest-ever lead over DeSantis https://t.co/3g4DZyFS7b
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) April 1, 2023

Analysis: Trump’s not only leading, he’s leading with those more likely to vote https://t.co/jt7NXUeRpE
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) March 23, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary, Without Trump:

DeSantis 35%
Trump Jr. 14%
Pence 7%
Haley 5%
Cruz 4%
Cheney 3%
Romney 3%
Owens 2%
Abbott 2%
Noem 2%
Pompeo 2%
Rubio 1%
T. Scott 1%
Lake 1%
Youngkin 1%
Ramaswamy 1%
Kasich 1%

McLaughlin & Associates, 463 LV, 3/16-20 pic.twitter.com/1Tx61ZsSXd
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) March 22, 2023

I think it's very possible the 2024 GOP primary ends up being a dud & Trump wins easily thanks to a combination of the base still loving him & other contenders being complete cowards. He's already over 50%, so even if a consensus non-Trump candidate emerges it might be too late. pic.twitter.com/escEDYL1Qa
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) March 24, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 44%
DeSantis 28%
Haley 5%
Pence 4%
Youngkin 2%
Cheney 2%
Christie 1%
Pompeo 1%
Hogan 1%
.
4-Way-Race:
Trump 47%
DeSantis 32%
Haley 6%
Pence 5%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 47%
DeSantis 39%

.@YouGovAmerica/@YahooNews, 3/16-20
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) March 23, 2023

Why we’re still stuck in Trump’s world. The GOP electorate & the nature of the places they represent push party leaders toward timidity. Until they discover the fortitude to defy the incentives, Trump’s neuroses will dominate our politics.
My column https://t.co/0XAbkolZD2
— EJ Dionne (@EJDionne) March 26, 2023

76% of Republican voters in this poll say they want Trump to be president again. 61% of all Americans, including 64% of independents, say they don’t. https://t.co/JeaHjcoSHH
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) March 27, 2023

Why do Florida voters support Trump or DeSantis over Biden if they disagree with their policies?

The only reason I can think of is white nationalism. That must be more important than guns, abortion, etc.

Peak "the problems are bad but their causes… their causes are very good" https://t.co/xWQZRJUmyw
— Adam Weinstein (@AdamWeinstein) March 9, 2023

The media helps Trump by spreading his disgusting nicknames

I point it out but it won’t stop them

The media helps Trump spread his juvenile nicknames. https://t.co/mUPcUTqq2E
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) March 4, 2023

The media helps Trump by spreading his juvenile nicknames. https://t.co/Ayz8yuB46w
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) March 4, 2023

The media is addicted to Trump https://t.co/7ginHI8Fvk
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) March 4, 2023

More polls showing Trump leading the GOP – his cult doesn’t care what he says or does

DeSantis back to his pre-boomlet level of support in the CPAC straw poll, Trump not as popular as he has been but still higher than immediately post-presidency. https://t.co/KtN9pgcxP8 pic.twitter.com/85an02trdC
— Jacob Rubashkin (@JacobRubashkin) March 4, 2023

Why Trump is a clear favorite for the 2024 GOP nomination. (@ForecasterEnten) https://t.co/zQCda0fshF
— Opinion Today (@OpinionToday) March 4, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 42%
DeSantis 26%
Haley 6%
Pence 5%
Romney 3%
Cheney 2%
Pompeo 2%
Abbott 1%
T. Scott 1%
Hogan 1%
Bolton 1%
Youngkin 1%
Sununu 1%
Ramaswamy 1%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 56% (+18)
DeSantis 38%

McLaughlin & Associates, 441 LV, 2/17-23
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 27, 2023

More on Trump being the GOP favorite for 2024. His cult is still powerful

It doesn’t matter what he says – his cult is fine with his lies and bigotry

It doesn’t matter what he does – the cult is fine with the insurrection and they won’t care if he is indicted

The rest of the GOP is cowardly – they won’t do much to criticize him because they need his voter base

Trump is the favorite to win the GOP primary and it's not as competitive as commentators make it out to be

Emerson: Trump leads DeSantis 55%-25%
YouGov: Trump leads DeSantis 47%-39%
Echelon: Trump leads DeSantis 46%-31%
Fox: Trump leads DeSantis 43%-28%https://t.co/nwUqII32jf
— Nathan McDermott (@natemcdermott) March 1, 2023

YouGov shared some Trump-vs.-DeSantis polling with me that raises an interesting point.

Trump tops RDS on a variety of personal and issue metrics, a reminder that he is very well-defined in a way that disadvantages his opponents. https://t.co/BRqoeEeIIL
— Philip Bump (@pbump) March 1, 2023

The Republican Primary is already over. Even the woman literally wearing the DeSantis tee picked Trump. If you think Trump’s done with the Republican Party or that the Republican Party is done with Trump, you’re fooling yourself. pic.twitter.com/hPjVVjILWz
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) March 1, 2023