Poll results vary but Trump can beat DeSantis

The GOP doesn’t care what Trump has done – liar, bigot, insurrection inciter, it’s all fine with them

2024 GOP primary via new Quinnipiac poll:

42% Trump
36% DeSantis
5% Haley
4% Pence
4% Pompeo
2% Cruz
2% Cheney
1% Scott
0% Youngkin
0% Sununu
0% Noem
0% Hogan
0% Hutchinson
0% Christie
4% undecided
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) February 16, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 47%
DeSantis 31%
Pence 7%
Cruz 5%
Haley 3%
T. Scott 3%
Cheney 2%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 50% (+12)
DeSantis 38%
.
Trump 61% (+39)
Haley 22%

.@premisedata, 661 RV, 2/16-19https://t.co/5GbvMGCs1b
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 23, 2023

These polls are pretty useless because it's not a head-to-head matchup. I'm less convinced than ever that DeSantis has what it takes to beat Trump in a primary. pic.twitter.com/4ezalfF1HJ
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) February 20, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

DeSantis 33%
Trump 33%
Pence 2%
Haley 1%
Cruz 1%
Paul 1%
Pompeo 1%
.
Head-2-Head:
DeSantis 53% (+13)
Trump 40%
.
DeSantis 67% (+48)
Cruz 19%
.
Trump 60% (+29)
Cruz 31%

.@MonmouthPoll , 566 RV, 1/26-2/2https://t.co/ankftyErij pic.twitter.com/JwC7VeixWx
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 9, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 52%
DeSantis 24%
Haley 15%

.@Rasmussen_Poll, 2/16-20https://t.co/bcZ4zHpGbf
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 23, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

DeSantis 40%
Trump 31%
Pence 8%
Haley 8%
Cheney 5%
Cruz 2%
Pompeo 2%
Hogan 1%
Noem 1%
Rubio 1%
Youngkin 1%
.
Head-2-Head:
DeSantis 55% (+18)
Trump 37%

.@WPAIntel, 1,000 RV, 2/13-16https://t.co/l0HZmWYCx8
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 23, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 43%
DeSantis 31%
Pence 7%
Haley 4%

.@Reuters/@Ipsos, 1,465 RV, 2/6-13https://t.co/gFtIyP47QH
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 14, 2023

Trump’s grip on the Republican base is slipping — even among his fans https://t.co/TRaLieBNOm
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) February 24, 2023

Tweets on DeSantis – I think he’s terrible

He could be the GOP candidate for president in 2024

When Trump posted innuendo about DeSantis on his social media site, DeSantis demurred instead of firing back. Instead, his harshest hit that week was on the press. @MichaelCBender and me on whether DeSantis is going to be able to sustain this posture https://t.co/54t0ZE5FWG
— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) February 12, 2023

Florida lawmakers granted Gov. Ron DeSantis new power over Disney during a special session aimed at fixing problems with some of the rising Republican leader’s most controversial signature initiatives. https://t.co/0oZg8XvOOm
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) February 11, 2023

A brave, gut-wrenching piece about the danger of Ron DeSantis. https://t.co/UTRJAlzmZ0
— Rebekah Jones (@GeoRebekah) February 11, 2023

HEY PRESS. This didn’t take long. Have you not seen enough yet? We have been warning you: cc @NYT @WashingtonPost @NBC @CBS @ABC @CNN @MSNBC Ron DeSantis Wants to Roll Back Press Freedom – The New York Times https://t.co/ybfyVWZdhT
— karen langsam (@karen_langsam) February 10, 2023

Fl Gov. Ron DeSantis wanted to ban guns at election night party but wanted host to take the blame, in latest example of tension with gun rights activists. https://t.co/9qtoetEhDy
— Beth Reinhard (@bethreinhard) February 10, 2023

Ron DeSantis' abuses of power have left a mess for the legislature to clean up. https://t.co/epDJjegOYS via @CharlesPPierce
— Esquire (@esquire) February 7, 2023

The media’s continuing failure to cover Trump properly

The media is addicted to Trump because he boosted their ratings. They have never covered him properly since he started running in 2015 and they haven’t learned from their failures. This is addressed in a recent column by Oliver Dary and an old one by the great Margaret Sullivan. I am really worried about how badly the media will do for the 2024 election.

News outlets are still struggling to cover trump. The latest example: Coverage of the Bob Woodward lawsuit. More in @ReliableSources: https://t.co/HgWcjWaczj
— Oliver Darcy (@oliverdarcy) February 1, 2023

As always, a very thoughtful and insightful piece from Margaret Sullivan's final column, advice for media covering Trump 2024 – The Washington Post https://t.co/amuUk6CdNx
— Donna Brazile (@donnabrazile) August 21, 2022

This is exactly why I stopped watching CNN. They’re addicted to Trump. https://t.co/SyFt4myu5j
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) January 29, 2023

There’s still a large Trump cult

It doesn’t matter what Trump says.

It doesn’t matter what Trump does.

It doesn’t matter how many settlements Trump has to pay

It won’t matter if he is indicted.

There’s still a large Trump cult. I don’t think he will go to jail and a fine would be meaningless. I would like to see him barred from running for office.

Incredible—but good news for Democrats. Those who refuse to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it. https://t.co/zjVHmbOP5l
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) January 14, 2023

Ron DeSantis has made up notable ground in 2024 presidential nomination preferences, but Trump still gets the most first-choice votes & is among the top three choices for almost 2/3 of Republicans. Nobody else appears to draw meaningful support. @UMassPoll pic.twitter.com/inFunqTYGN
— Alex Theodoridis (@AGTheodoridis) January 13, 2023

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 41%
DeSantis 32%
Pence 4%
Haley 4%
Cruz 2%
Noem 2%
Romney 1%
Rubio 1%
T. Scott 1%
R. Scott 1%
Cheney 1%
Christie 1%
Gabbard 1%
Pompeo/Hogan/Kemp/Hawley/Abbot/Youngkin/Suarez 0%
.
Head-2-Head:
Trump 47%
DeSantis 46%

.@EchelonInsights
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) December 23, 2022

2024 National Republican Primary:

Trump 45%
DeSantis 30%
Pence 7%
Cruz 3%
Romney 2%
Haley 2%
Cheney 2%
Hawley 1%
Rubio 1%
Pompeo 1%

Politico/Morning Consult,
(842 RV, 11/18-20)
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 23, 2022

Nikki Haley gets a ton of coverage for someone polling at 2%. https://t.co/hEc5PGbBf4
— Drew Savicki ⛄️⛄️⛄️ (@DrewSav) January 22, 2023

Trump continues to use music without approval

Stopping a politician from using your music is not always an easy task, but we are dedicated to making sure that Donald Trump does not continue to use “Hold on I’m Coming” by written by Isaac Hayes an David Porter in further rallies and public appearances.
— Isaac Hayes (@isaachayes) November 16, 2022

https://t.co/YxZkWJ5QKB
— Isaac Hayes (@isaachayes) November 16, 2022

Several bad headlines/tweets for Trump’s campaign announcement

The media is still doing a bad job. They should point out things like the insurrection and investigations of Trump. They also gave Trump excessive coverage.

Hi @cspan this is a terrible. You are not on the PR team for the former President. We count on you to present clips from the footage preferably w/transcription on the screen & a summary description. You play a vital role in our democracy. This betrays that.Please take this down. https://t.co/Sli0cVFa1U
— Sherrilyn Ifill (@SIfill_) November 16, 2022

wow nbc news ran a normal headline https://t.co/1iRXt13UDC
— Tim Pool (@Timcast) November 16, 2022

[Headline Grades]
WaPo: A+
BuzzFeed: B
NYT: D-
CNN: F pic.twitter.com/0Vmsr25Les
— Atticus West (@AtticusWest) November 16, 2022

Hey news media. You were complicit in electing Trump in 2016. You are complicit right now. When a former POTUS has threatened democracy… you don't have to air any of his announcements LIVE. You can report the news without giving it wall to wall coverage. Complicit.
— Randi Mayem Singer (@rmayemsinger) November 16, 2022

Very different approaches here. pic.twitter.com/KXlAxYRVKw
— RSchooley@socel.net (@Rschooley) November 16, 2022

CNN didn’t learn from this from 2020

MSNBC, major networks interrupt Trump's falsehood-laden speech to fact-check; Fox, CNN carry in fullhttps://t.co/XJ9jTFtdGq
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) November 16, 2022

Here we have the two papers in a nutshell. The Post reminds readers that he incited an authoritarian takeover; the NYT avoids that inconvenient fact and makes the GOP seem reasonable. Seen from a global lens, the former skews progressive, the latter center-right. https://t.co/yE53Cw4OWj
— Ruth Ben-Ghiat (@ruthbenghiat) November 16, 2022

The GOP is still a Trump cult

It’s a cult. The GOP politicians are tired of Trump but their base isn’t. https://t.co/MxCMUrBtcW
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) November 15, 2022

"Donald Trump is not as weak a candidate as many people might expect—or hope—him to be. I believe he is most likely to be the 2024 Republican nominee for president…He could win in the general election—and that would be bad for the country."https://t.co/Y4se7x4BeJ
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) November 15, 2022

really shocked that the GOP’s resolve to finally dump Trump is fading within a few days of whatever caused it. no historical precedent for this https://t.co/WxELxvy7rQ
— Will Stancil (@whstancil) November 15, 2022

61% of Republicans still want Trump to run even if he’s charged with a crime!

Nothing will convince the Trump cult of the facts about their disgraceful leader.

Two-thirds of independents say they don't want Trump to run for president again. Two-thirds of Republicans say they want Trump to run, and a whopping 61% of them say they still want him to run even if he's charged with a crime. (@DomenicoNPR) https://t.co/XKVOyhaEUQ
— Opinion Today (@OpinionToday) September 7, 2022

Cook Political Report on the Republican Electoral College advantage

Republicans are enjoying a stronger Electoral College advantage than at any point in the 25-year history of the Cook PVI. In ‘04, Kerry lost by 3 pts., still got 251 EV. If current EV patterns hold in ‘24, a 3 pt loss by Dems would get just 218 EVs. https://t.co/dWdi3lHzEe
— Amy Walter (@amyewalter) July 22, 2022

More media Trump addiction

I’m sure the media will be thrilled when Trump announces. They have learned nothing from 2016 and will continue to give him excess publicity. https://t.co/CBgJR7PZg6
— Harris Levy (@HarrisL585) July 14, 2022