Update on gerrymandering in Missouri

Also last night, the Missouri state Senate passed this congressional map that had already been approved by the House. It now goes to the governor for his signature. https://t.co/TBvZ5MUnEt pic.twitter.com/mtqYr3DCM7
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) May 13, 2022

After 4+ months of often-acrimonious debate, the MO Senate appears poised to move the previous question on a 6-2 R:D congressional district map. In the last 2 decades of Republican chamber control, this will be the 1st time that motion is used against dissenting Republicans.
— Jeff Smith (@JeffSmithMO) May 12, 2022

2020 Presidential Results for HB 2909:

MO-1: Biden +58.4%
MO-2: Trump +7.8%
MO-3: Trump +26.1%
MO-4: Trump +39.6%
MO-5: Biden +26.4%
MO-6: Trump +37.1%
MO-7: Trump +41.4%
MO-8: Trump +51.4%

DRA Interactive Map Link:https://t.co/20vQNUrRUn pic.twitter.com/QbsPTO2lNm
— Missouri Mapper (@Missouri_Mapper) May 6, 2022

Yesterday, a Missouri state House committee introduced and passed a new congressional map, a last-ditch effort to avoid the courts drawing a map. Up on 538: https://t.co/WSHaaC1dVV pic.twitter.com/frXx1c3r9e
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) May 5, 2022

#NEW: The Missouri House GOP has introduced a new congressional map.

The proposed redistricting plan is seen as a final attempt to keep the courts from drawing the districts. pic.twitter.com/fv3CWxsR5Q
— The Redistrict Network (@RedistrictNet) May 4, 2022

Update on gerrymandering in Florida

DeSantis’s excessively greedy gerrymandering has been ruled unconstitutional by a Republican judge.

update 6/2 the state supreme court will let DeSantis’s map stand at least for 2022. Disgusting.

Today, the Florida Supreme Court announced it would not hear a case on Florida's new congressional map anytime soon, likely ensuring the DeSantis map will be used in the 2022 midterms. https://t.co/5EbU7XAtFw pic.twitter.com/xGnFWlZwwQ
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) June 2, 2022

Florida Supreme Court declines to take up challenge to state's new congressional map, making it increasingly likely this year's elections will be conducted under the aggressively partisan congressional boundaries championed by GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis https://t.co/j0Ys1TOWCo
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) June 2, 2022

🚨NEW: Plaintiffs in Florida redistricting case have filed an emergency motion with the Florida Supreme Court seeking to obtain relief and a partial new congressional map ahead of the 2022 midterm elections.

Follow @DemocracyDocket for updates.https://t.co/OdX4Sz7OGp
— Marc E. Elias (@marceelias) May 23, 2022

A judge has ruled that a congressional map approved by Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and drawn by his staff is unconstitutional because it breaks up a district where Black voters can choose their representatives.https://t.co/CcsRs2CMAT
— The Associated Press (@AP) May 11, 2022

NEW: FL circuit judge Layne Smith, a Scott/DeSantis appointee, strikes down North Florida portion of GOP congressional map that dismantles Rep. Al Lawson's (D) #FL05. This could save Dems one seat, moving map from 20R-8D to 19R-9D. Rs likely to appeal.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 11, 2022

BREAKING: FL state trial judge Layne Smith will block the DeSantis map in North FL for 2022, ordering a restored FL-05 be used this year.

FYI: Judge Smith served in Rick Scott’s admin, was appointed to the county bench by Scott, elevated to the 2nd Circuit by DeSantis.
— Nicholas Warren (@NLVWarren) May 11, 2022

🚨It is finally done!🚨

A DETAILED look at Florida's new Congressional districts. 5,000 words, countless maps and tables. Yet I feel I only scratched the surface. More will come in time. Until then, delve in. #flapol #sayfie https://t.co/9RCYMWhn7s pic.twitter.com/DL6C6xV8pL
— Florida Data Geek 🇺🇦 (@MappingFL) May 5, 2022

🚨NEW: Plaintiffs in Florida redistricting case has filed for a preliminary injunction to block the use of the illegal DeSantis/GOP congressional map in 2022 elections. https://t.co/OdX4Sz7OGp
— Marc E. Elias (@marceelias) April 27, 2022

Update on New York gerrymandering

How huge a deal is the NY ruling? A neutral plan drawn by a court-appointed special master (hypothetical, left) could give Republicans 3-5 more winnable seats than the 22D-4R Dem gerrymander that was just struck down (right). pic.twitter.com/jEXzQIPgVH
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 28, 2022

New York’s top court threw out the state’s new district lines, ruling they were improperly drawn. That will likely delay to at least some of the primaries that were due to be held on June 28 https://t.co/4AdfiarnZ9
— POLITICO (@politico) April 27, 2022

Breaking: NY's top court throws out Dems' congressional map and delays June 28 primary, depriving them of their most critical gerrymander of the 2022 cycle. https://t.co/yNlPes1FVN pic.twitter.com/9nRJjGRHyy
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 27, 2022

Back in February, Kavanaugh said it was too late to strike down Alabama's congressional district map. So if New York's map gets tossed out in state and Dems appeal to SCOTUS, surely he'll side with Dems right? If it was too late in February then it must be way too late now.
— Drew Savicki (@DrewSav) April 27, 2022

Kavanaugh will side with Republicans

Update on Wisconsin gerrymandering

Wisconsin’s Supreme Court approved new legislative maps drawn by Republicans, reversing its ruling favoring the Democratic governor’s maps. The ruling essentially locks in Republican majorities in the State Assembly and State Senate for the next decade. https://t.co/esGOgTb8cS
— The New York Times (@nytimes) April 16, 2022

After the WI Supreme Court initially picked Evers’s maps, SCOTUS told them to try again with new criteria. Predictably, that resulted in the GOP’s maps being chosen. https://t.co/k4mB51zozA
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) April 15, 2022

Wisconsin Democrats thought they had won the redistricting war, by winning the governorship and state judicial races. They didn’t count on the Supreme Court, which has bolstered Republican efforts with more cases in the wings. @colbyitkowitz @daveweigel https://t.co/qX2gggD2MR
— Matea Gold (@mateagold) April 15, 2022

Gerrymandering will help Republicans

Democratic judges voiding Democratic gerrymanders while Republican judges uphold Republican ones just says so much about how the two parties think about power.
— Jonathan 'Boo and Vote' Cohn (@JonathanCohn) April 27, 2022

Florida, New York and Ohio all have extremely similar anti-gerrymandering language enshrined in state constitutions, passed by voters. But only New York is on track to enforce its reforms – and that’s the difference powering GOP gains in 2022 redistricting.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 28, 2022

Shorter 2022 redistricting: it's permissible to brazenly gerrymander in some states (mostly red), but not others (mostly blue). As long as that's true, you're not going to end up with a "fair" or "equitable" national House map.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 27, 2022

Biden states on track for court/commission maps: AZ, CA, CO, CT, HI, MI, MN, NJ, NY, PA, VA, WA, WI (181 districts)

Trump states on track for court/commission maps: ID, IA, KS, MT, NC (26 districts)
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 27, 2022

Cool site that lets you see what a maximal Democratic gerrymander, maximal Republican gerrymander, and a fair map would look like in every state: https://t.co/Wqv6et60bz
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) April 19, 2022

Part of the reason Dems were doing unexpectedly well in redistricting was GOP hesitation to create maximal gerrymanders in states like FL while Dems were brutal in states like NY. These past weeks have reversed that, and now Dems are on the losing end of the redistricting wars. https://t.co/zJflRsB0P1
— Max (@maxtmcc) April 27, 2022

An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterms and beyond.

More from @FiveThirtyEight: https://t.co/jkvTPvzD47
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) April 28, 2022

Republicans may win in redistricting because of red-state judges

The first tweet covers it:

Blue state judges aim for fairness

Red state judges aim to help Republicans

If FL’s GOP gerrymander is upheld and the NY’s Dem gerrymander is struck down (still dubious), Rs would be the modest yet clear winners of 2022 redistricting. And it would be b/c most blue states enforced anti-gerrymandering reforms while red states (esp. FL/OH/UT) defied them.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 22, 2022

New York's map may not stay struck down. But as of right now, between NY coming off the board and FL coming on it, Republicans stand to gain ~6 House seats in 2022 based on redistricting. Quite a comeback!
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) April 22, 2022

Update on Florida gerrymandering

New: FL becomes the 41st state to adopt a congressional map (not counting NY, where Dems' gerrymander is on hold pending appeal). Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has signed into law a gerrymander that shuold stretch the state's 16R-11D breakdown to 20R-8D. Next stop: courts. pic.twitter.com/RaTYJG7MLV
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 22, 2022

“Democracy in Florida is not functioning. It’s not gone, the structure is there, the possibility of a return to representative government with checks and balances remains. But it’s not currently functioning.” https://t.co/GEigK9Nctc
— Sam Levine (@srl) April 23, 2022

NEW from @FiveThirtyEight: This is about as big of a Republican bias that Florida’s congressional map could have — and darn close to the most egregiously partisan map in the country. https://t.co/6dUM37S5VK
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) April 21, 2022

New: DeSantis-backed FL gerrymander that’s poised to stretch the state’s current 16R-11D breakdown to 20R-8D by eliminating North FL’s plurality Black #FL05 passes both chambers along party lines and heads to the governor for signature (h/t @MappingFL). pic.twitter.com/GSuVzPm3iF
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 21, 2022

The Florida state Senate has officially acceded to Gov. Ron DeSantis's (R) demands and passed his proposed congressional map. Onto the House, where it's expected to pass tomorrow. https://t.co/67LxpoHIQU pic.twitter.com/E2KTHf9NNg
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) April 20, 2022

Members of Florida Black Legislative Caucus interrupt debate on DeSantis congressional map to hold a sit in on the House floor. pic.twitter.com/TtxzDguMkW
— Valerie Crowder (@valcrowder) April 21, 2022

JUST IN: Florida Republicans just turned off the Wi-Fi in the legislature and kicked out journalists without explanation as Florida Democrats stage a protest on the floor calling out Ron DeSantis for denying Black representation through gerrymandering.
— No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen (@NoLieWithBTC) April 21, 2022

Yesterday, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) proposed a new congressional map for Florida, the most consequential state yet to finish redistricting. Up and analyzed on 538: https://t.co/67LxpoHIQU pic.twitter.com/GxhYBX0aCX
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) April 14, 2022

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis proposes an aggressively partisan redrawing of the state's congressional boundaries that could help his party pick up four House seats https://t.co/5r0iWAcOkg
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) April 14, 2022

FWIW, the 20R-8D DeSantis gerrymander would dilute the votes of Black communities in St. Petersburg, Orlando and North FL to benefit Rs in ways that previous courts have struck down. We’ll see what the new, more conservative FL Supreme Court (and possibly SCOTUS) say. https://t.co/3fz5LZPuIG
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 13, 2022

If this 20R-8D FL map passes and withstands court challenges, it could net Republicans four additional seats, entirely wiping out Dems' national redistricting gains thus far. https://t.co/7MU6BaPrDM
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 13, 2022

Update on gerrymandering in Florida

I bet DeSantis is counting on the right-wing Supreme Court to let his map stand, at least for 2022 elections. He is evil but I think he’s got a good chance to be our next president. He has terrible policies like Trump but with less personal baggage and is not as obsessed with 2020.

If this 20R-8D FL map passes and withstands court challenges, it could net Republicans four additional seats, entirely wiping out Dems' national redistricting gains thus far. https://t.co/7MU6BaPrDM
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 13, 2022

Here is the partisan breakdown for the latest plan from Ron DeSantis #flapol #sayfie pic.twitter.com/jqRTuIijHu
— Florida Data Geek 🇺🇦 (@MappingFL) April 13, 2022

We weren't kidding when we wrote this in October. Now, with FL's GOP legislature poised to adopt something proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), Rs could replace 16R-11D w/ as lopsided as 20R-8D, wiping out Dems' national remap gains – if courts let them. https://t.co/VlAyzLgU28
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) April 13, 2022

#ReidOutBlog: #Florida's GOP-controlled legislature is preparing to give the governor the power to influence congressional maps, most likely harming Black voters. https://t.co/xMvQBFoTss
— The ReidOut (@thereidout) April 13, 2022

Leadership is allowing the Governor to draw the new Congressional maps. Last time I checked, I was elected to serve the people of Jacksonville, not Ron DeSantis. If he thinks we’re going to just accept his plan to disenfranchise Black voters in our community, he’s dead wrong. pic.twitter.com/ak8Fp4vU1z
— Tracie Davis (@traciedavisjax) April 11, 2022

The super-close 2018 Florida governor’s race has turned out to be a big historical hinge point https://t.co/XsaIlZlfqw
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) April 13, 2022

Ron DeSantis' latest map is drawn to make #FL10 a Democratic vote-sink, but it doesn't even consolidate Orange County's black population, and as a result the primary is plurality white

More disrespect to the black community of Florida #flapol #sayfie pic.twitter.com/Ilymia7BBa
— Florida Data Geek 🇺🇦 (@MappingFL) April 13, 2022

Update on gerrymandering in New York

Early read on NY lower court judge blocking Dems’ 22D-4R gerrymander: ruling likely to be stayed on appeal, so Dems believe map will remain in place, at least for 2022.

Huge stakes here, as a “neutral” map could cost Dems 3-4 seats and erase their nationwide remap gains. pic.twitter.com/qeAjHeWZ5z
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) March 31, 2022

A judge has ordered New York's Democrat-controlled Legislature to redraw the state's congressional and legislative districts after finding they were unconstitutional and gerrymandered to benefit Democrats. Legislative leaders plan to appeal.https://t.co/xzeMuLnLiI
— The Associated Press (@AP) March 31, 2022

Probably means you can kiss the Dem redistricting advantage goodbye.

To their credit, Dem-appointed judges acting on principle > partisan politics. First Maryland, now New York. Undoing some of the most egregious gerrymanders of the cycle.
— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) March 31, 2022

New York lawmakers draw redistricting map that boosts Democrats https://t.co/awHPIznStU
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) January 31, 2022

Update on gerrymandering in Louisiana

Louisiana becomes the 40th state to complete congressional redistricting (if you count Ohio's GOP map), with GOP legislators overriding Gov. Edwards (D) veto to enact a 5R-1D map maintaining just one Black majority seat. Lawsuit filed, but after Alabama, it's a long shot. https://t.co/2v7iVZATei
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) March 30, 2022

Fun fact: This is likely only the third successful veto override in Louisiana history! https://t.co/wXaHnOE1FN
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) March 30, 2022

It is shameful that the first vote overriding a Louisiana governor’s veto in a generation—which happened just today—was to deny black Louisianans fair representation in Congress.

We are proud to stand on the side of the voters. We will never waver in our pursuit of justice. https://t.co/dz3K2uCjbL
— Eric Holder (@EricHolder) March 31, 2022

🚨BREAKING: Black voters challenge new Louisiana map as violating Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. Asks court to order the creation of a second majority-Black district. @EliasLawGroup @RedistrictFdn https://t.co/wO9wWKzkvL
— Marc E. Elias (@marceelias) March 31, 2022