Minnesota GOP Senate candidate compared Michelle Obama to a chimp in Facebook post https://t.co/34E0SISg2G pic.twitter.com/fSms0Oe1nb
— The Hill (@thehill) October 15, 2018
Minnesota GOP Senate candidate compared Michelle Obama to a chimp in Facebook post https://t.co/34E0SISg2G pic.twitter.com/fSms0Oe1nb
— The Hill (@thehill) October 15, 2018
Russian intelligence has been probing for weaknesses in our election systems. Can states secure themselves from attack in time for the midterms? https://t.co/0PmMJnP7hr pic.twitter.com/RiVhYy79mN
— The New Yorker (@NewYorker) October 15, 2018
Exclusive: DHS finds increasing attempts to hack U.S. election systems ahead of midterms. Vermont was among those that repelled attempted cyber attacks in a previously undisclosed incident. https://t.co/T7oenLD34Z via @nbcnews
— Ken Dilanian (@KenDilanianNBC) October 15, 2018
The midterms 22 days away. But working groups inside the intel community charged with overseeing election security are still trying to finalize plans for countering foreign interference in the 2018 elections, officials involved tell The Daily Beast. https://t.co/0omD7EJoKF
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 15, 2018
This is what I have been saying – if Democrats win, Republicans won’t accept the results.
Prepare for recount hell and the delegitimizing of the Blue Wave. https://t.co/yZp2XPcHyd
— Charles P. Pierce (@CharlesPPierce) October 15, 2018
Bolton talks about Chinese meddling.
Kemp talks about illegal votes for Democrats.
from the article:
“They are part of a national mechanism that is being created to delegitimize a Democratic sweep should it happen next month. It will be Chinese meddling, or sneaky “Illegals.” And they will sell it hard to those people most likely to believe it. And the country likely will catch on fire. “
This is the problem with the generic ballot – it’s like the national popular vote. The polls that matter are the ones for each district.
Democrats have a 53-42 percent edge in the generic ballot for the House. But inside the 66 districts that are tossups, or only leaning, that lead evaporates into a 46-47 D v. R race. https://t.co/B2VelNrN5Z
— Rick Klein (@rickklein) October 15, 2018
What Democrats in Congress will do if they're in power after the midterms https://t.co/golOzN0iiC pic.twitter.com/9uCAI9y8NH
— CNN (@CNN) October 15, 2018
PEW RESEARCH: Trump approval rating – heading into midterms –
Approve 38
Disapprove 61net approval -23
(2nd biggest gap since taking office)https://t.co/qczEpIg7mq
— Amy Siskind (@Amy_Siskind) October 15, 2018
This trend is clearer now. Generic ballot polls conducted since Kavanaugh was confirmed have not been good for Republicans. All a bit weird because they had a good week of Senate polls and an OK-ish week of House district polls. pic.twitter.com/VWALt1YriO
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 14, 2018
We're now at another point of near-symmetry. There's roughly a:
—1 in 5 chance that Democrats win both Senate and House
—3 in 5 chance that the GOP keeps the Senate but Democrats win the House
—1 in 5 chance that the GOP keeps both chambers https://t.co/yS4hV75b61— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 15, 2018
In other news, the award for least plausible internal poll of the election cycle goes to … Mark Callahan, the Republican candidate in OR-5, who released a poll showing himself up 23 points (!) in a race that Cook/Sabato/Gonzales all rate as "Safe D". https://t.co/n1DjJYZkUj pic.twitter.com/hUqGbRS9UH
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 15, 2018
As a heads up, 3Q fundraising numbers are going to start to populate our model over the next few days. In a few races, the numbers are already in. "Fundamentals" forecasts may change slightly as a result. https://t.co/VPH1CMw8Ok
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 15, 2018
There's no clear relationship between midterm losses and what happens in the next presidential election
Sometimes it's 2006 and there are two rough elections in a row
Sometimes it's 2010 and a win comes before a loss
The pattern just isn't strong https://t.co/7dzH6heerv pic.twitter.com/IVwUSew2ix— David Byler (@databyler) October 15, 2018
A group led by Steve Bannon is spending $3 million on digital ads ahead of the midterm elections https://t.co/0TCGs7x2E0 pic.twitter.com/3mEoUcCMDa
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 15, 2018
Add in the gubernatorial race and a Senate contest—incumbent Democrats are heavily favored in both—and the state stands as an epicenter of these midterms https://t.co/oO9krxHBf9 pic.twitter.com/2aNmhgEPS8
— POLITICO (@politico) October 15, 2018
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1051939147542392832
With the November midterm elections fast approaching, it is becoming increasingly clear that both Washington and statehouses around the country could be in for major changes.
Take a look at 7 key races that tell the story of the 2018 midterms: https://t.co/aUkfYWJhvh pic.twitter.com/FPx7huJMyw
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 15, 2018
I talked to progressive groups in Tennessee after Senate candidate Phil Bredesen said he supported Kavanaugh for SCOTUS, and they are…not happy: https://t.co/SnyzR5yIwY
— Becca (@kbeccaandrews) October 15, 2018
Democrats see growing lead in House race even as Trump approval rating rises. https://t.co/7IML2CMOQz pic.twitter.com/kRoqLNCqSW
— Slate (@Slate) October 15, 2018
Wow…#CA48 @DanaRohrabacher raised only $395K in Q3 and now has $506K COH (with $167K in debt)
— Aaron Booth (@ActorAaronBooth) October 15, 2018
The Republicans had managed to keep the Louie Gohmerts in the lower house of Congress. No more. https://t.co/qvFtujU2xG
— Esquire (@esquire) October 15, 2018
Good news for the GOP: Many of the most pro-Democrat voters are least certain to vote (@pbump) https://t.co/cOqz7vq4kY
— OpinionToday.com (@OpinionToday) October 15, 2018
When we polled this district in September, we found the Democratic candidate, Joe Radinovich, up by one point. Now, we have the Republican, Pete Stauber, up by 15. What happened? https://t.co/IOQTx1vJa0
— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) October 15, 2018
Only three progressive caucus members returning to the House next session have pledged to decline corporate funds. That number is about to balloon to as many as 40 or more, as a wave of successful progressive insurgents are poised to join the House. https://t.co/4JnfcfJYTh
— The Intercept (@theintercept) October 15, 2018
Between early August and the end of September @FLGovScott put another $18 million of his own money into his run for U.S. Senate. He put in $8m alone in final 2 weeks of that month.
— Gary Fineout (@fineout) October 15, 2018
I see this false tweet has still not been deleted, hours after I requested it. This is not what the fact check said. Four Pinocchios to Brat. https://t.co/zZlRG3S4gq
— Glenn Kessler (@GlennKesslerWP) October 15, 2018
Have noticed at least two considerations driving this. The first is tactical (what’s the point? It doesn’t reach our voters). Second has to do with erosion of trust in media (it’s not on the level; press is in the tank) https://t.co/FfzPC1Bnhr
— Charlie Mahtesian (@PoliticoCharlie) October 14, 2018
Interesting stat via @axios: pic.twitter.com/0Ot61rMvbc
— Josh Dawsey (@jdawsey1) October 14, 2018
In the new Trailer: @daveweigel looks at the millions flowing to Democratic candidates, and the dispute about its value. Also: the latest in 2018 and 2020 movements:https://t.co/J8eemdreBK
— Cathleen Decker (@cathleendecker) October 14, 2018
There is a 90.4% probability of the Democrats winning a majority in the House at the midterms according to the latest CBS News-YouGov House model estimates https://t.co/JF8nw6Jk2q pic.twitter.com/nlKLPZaGc5
— YouGovUS (@YouGovUS) October 14, 2018
This is nuts. The Dems may throw this seat away. https://t.co/Yi0nIgLo16
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 11, 2018
I freaking love this graphic from @spetulla https://t.co/mVODmyEq89 pic.twitter.com/8oEtMX96yM
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 14, 2018
Republicans didn't run a single TV ad in 16 key races during first week in October https://t.co/rcGIh9YzW3 pic.twitter.com/tjo2f2dxAC
— CNN (@CNN) October 14, 2018
We must close these loopholes.
“Super PACs are increasingly figuring out methods of temporarily masking donor identities that are either legal or fall into gray areas that rarely attract regulators’ attention.” https://t.co/cV1kT3ug6n
— End Citizens United (@StopBigMoney) October 14, 2018
Suburban white men are a key voting bloc, too, and they stand with Trump and are backing Republicans in the midterms, @tripgabriel writes https://t.co/AdslgTMi75
— Philip Rucker (@PhilipRucker) October 14, 2018
Good numbers for Democrats less than four weeks before a national election. But victory only happens if people actually vote. Work like you never have before to help Dem candidates & get people to the polls. https://t.co/T0hENNhQiu
— Ted Lieu (@tedlieu) October 14, 2018
.@mviser on the deep network of candidates Elizabeth Warren is building in 2018–many in key 2020 states: https://t.co/6hmaG0qBiI
— Cathleen Decker (@cathleendecker) October 14, 2018
When it comes to control of the Senate after the midterms, the odds are still in Republicans’ favor, but there are several paths to a Democratic majority too https://t.co/9qeNsRFeg3
— CNN (@CNN) October 14, 2018
In some ways, House and Senate battlegrounds are opposites.
For instance, House battlegrounds are quite a bit *more* suburban than the country overall, while Senate battlegrounds are quite a bit *less* so.
House battlegrounds have high education levels; Senate has low ones. pic.twitter.com/1GZdglLZ9k
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 14, 2018
Suppression and gerrymandering are real. But they don't have nearly the effect people think they do, and not remotely as much as EIGHTY PERCENT OF YOUNG PEOPLE NOT SHOWING UP.
Seriously, if people @ me about this any more, it's instant mute time. https://t.co/cApMAb5a6X— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) October 14, 2018
If you want to know how the GOP has gained power disproportionate to their numbers, this is how: they show up for every and any election. When I was a GOPer, I *counted* on low Dem turnout, and they rarely let me down. https://t.co/bR8v3DFEQr
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) October 14, 2018
Gonna come down to turnout https://t.co/eL6NtX8xVA
— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) October 14, 2018
Cohen’s very public penance continues https://t.co/f3OCW3jraJ
— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 14, 2018
70% of women say it’s important to them to vote this year's midterms, more than the 62% of men who say so. In August it was an even 65% in both groups https://t.co/dRKfxC91HI
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 14, 2018
The Kavanaugh investigation was a sham – it was very limited. If Democrats win the House, they will conduct a real investigation. It would have been much better to have a full investigation before the vote but Republicans chose not to do that. I don’t think they helped Kavanaugh by shoving the nomination through before a thorough investigation. Dr. Ford and the other accusers deserve a full hearing. The majority of people favor it. The FBI ignored many witnesses. No matter what it finds, I don’t think the investigation would lead to Kavanaugh’s impeachment. Republicans will keep him in his seat no matter what they find.
JUST IN: 53% of Americans favor further investigation of Brett Kavanaugh by Congress that could potentially lead to efforts to remove him from office; women support a congressional probe, 58-37%. https://t.co/JTelwBFViy pic.twitter.com/o6MvDVgOpV
— ABC News (@ABC) October 12, 2018
New WaPo poll shows that the American people view the Kavanaugh confirmation as tainted.
Americans say by 50-41 that not enough was done to investigate his past
53% support further investigation by Congress, *even if* it could result in his removal:https://t.co/eIEQroGvpG pic.twitter.com/gVtnCDpbuy
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) October 12, 2018
In a new poll commissioned by The Washington Post and ABC News, a majority of Americans don't approve of Kavanaugh and would support an additional investigation. https://t.co/412X39EAAL
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) October 12, 2018
Did the Senate do enough to investigate allegations that Kavanaugh committed sexual misconduct in high school and college?
ALL
Yes 41%
No 50%
MEN
Yes 44%
No 43%
WOMEN
Yes 38%
No 56%
(ABC News/Washington Post Poll, 10/8-11/18)
see full wording: https://t.co/aEf7FA0Oi0— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) October 12, 2018
So WH had to have specifically ordered FBI: do not accept information from citizens who come forward and volunteer it. Can't imagine the FBI has been told that before. That is politics, of the most base and dishonest sort, not law enforcement. https://t.co/rEzFRSNzq6
— Harry Litman (@harrylitman) October 10, 2018
My latest. The idea the Kavanaugh investigation was "comprehensive" is a total charade. https://t.co/2PABO4OvJX
— Josh Campbell (@joshscampbell) October 9, 2018
Any lawyer knows coordinating eyewitness accounts could constitute witness tampering. We don't know what Judge Kavanaugh said in the days before the New Yorker story broke, but it sure seems like something the FBI should've investigated, & may explain misleading testimony.
— Richard Blumenthal (@SenBlumenthal) October 4, 2018
One of my constituents went to the FBI with evidence that Judge Kavanaugh was in touch with the wife of an alleged eye witness regarding Ms. Ramirez’s allegations of sexual misconduct before the New Yorker story broke. The FBI never called her back.
— Richard Blumenthal (@SenBlumenthal) October 4, 2018
New witness comes forward claiming she saw Brett Kavanaugh spike drinks during parties https://t.co/BYw8DKa81v
— waltsimsjr (@waltsimsjr) October 11, 2018
This morning, Brett Kavanaugh published an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal with the headline, "I am an independent, impartial judge." Most Americans – including most women – disagree with this characterization of him. https://t.co/0DsO8Pp7Px pic.twitter.com/NKAZRrUFYk
— YouGovUS (@YouGovUS) October 5, 2018
Overall, Americans feel more unfavorably towards Brett Kavanaugh than favorably. Men are split evenly on the new Supreme Court Justice, while women are 19 points more likely to have an unfavorable opinion of him than favorable. https://t.co/XDt14srycZ pic.twitter.com/yyxPl7Cnua
— YouGovUS (@YouGovUS) October 10, 2018
More Americans disapprove of the confirmation of the Brett Kavanaugh than approve of it. Men are more likely to approve than women. https://t.co/XDt14srycZ pic.twitter.com/rlIW52prll
— YouGovUS (@YouGovUS) October 10, 2018
This is pretty big coming from Feinstein. The GOP's rushed confirmation process will not be the last word on Kavanaugh.https://t.co/3XmLq2z2lc
— Brian Fallon (@brianefallon) October 18, 2018
Daniel Dale thread:
@ddale8 Are you live-tweeting the rally tonite?
— heather lisy (@Heathfeath45) October 12, 2018
The most controversial part was Trump’s praise for Confederate General Lee in Ohio, a Union state, but he was probably doing it to show why Lincoln supported Grant even though he drank. (There is speculation that Trump was doing this to support Kavanaugh, even though he drank heavily when he was young.)
This story was a bit complicated. The point of the first part was that Lee was awesome, but the point of the second part was that Grant was even better even though he was very drunk, and that Lincoln was a smart president for sticking by a genius with a drinking problem. https://t.co/yb0rRyjlvb
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 13, 2018
Extraordinarily cynical
Lee actually was a great general, militarily
He also fought to defend slavery
So Trump gets to be militarily correct and racist all at once https://t.co/d43O8PPG9u
— Rick Newman (@rickjnewman) October 13, 2018
President Trump told a story about Abraham Lincoln and Ulysses S. Grant during a rally in Ohio. @NBCNews presidential historian Michael Beschloss fact checks. https://t.co/qAUOlx5rkK
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 13, 2018
Trump says Ohio Dem "enjoyed" hurting people at consumer bureau https://t.co/e7RHIGeBGO pic.twitter.com/HC25lkfEj4
— The Hill (@thehill) October 13, 2018
Trump calls on blacks to “honor” him with their votes, then praises Confederate general Robert E. Lee, @Gabriel_Pogrund reports from Union stronghold Ohio https://t.co/wW7MjXrYGm
— Philip Rucker (@PhilipRucker) October 13, 2018
Trump rally: Lebanon, Ohio pic.twitter.com/s3qJFERcc8
— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 12, 2018
President Donald Trump holds a rally in Ohio. Follow for live updates. https://t.co/6tH2ZF9ch9 pic.twitter.com/Tq4AFyofyv
— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) October 12, 2018
When Abe heard Trump was talking shit about him and praising General Robert E. Lee last night pic.twitter.com/sLACq5yGwo
— Donté Stallworth (@DonteStallworth) October 13, 2018
We're teaming up with election officials across the country to make sure they have a plan for shielding the vote from hacks and breakdowns. Here are 8 steps you can take to #ProtectTheVote in your community: https://t.co/swb18xEsqn pic.twitter.com/VJeEwkW0m9
— Brennan Center (@BrennanCenter) October 13, 2018
An increased number of New Jersey women have jumped into politics this election cycle—many fueling a movement aimed at flipping the historically Republican 11th Congressional District from red to blue. https://t.co/fKmVDhBVIS #18for18 pic.twitter.com/LGmcws1M8h
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) October 13, 2018
To Republicans: Don’t tell me about civility:
GOP candidate for Pennsylvania governor Scott Wagner to his opponent Gov. Tom Wolf: "You better put a catcher's mask on your face because I'm going to stomp all over your face with golf spikes because I'm going to win this for the state of Pennsylvania."https://t.co/0RRey4nKdT
— Axios (@axios) October 13, 2018
Has been a weird week of polling. Democrats have shown a rebound on the generic ballot. But their Senate polling has been quite poor. Meanwhile, House district polls have been all over the place. https://t.co/UlBWZ8IXyC
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 13, 2018
Trump, Republicans hope to gin up energy with GOP voters by painting Democrats as unfit 'mob' ahead of midterms. Follow @ReutersTV's midterm election coverage https://t.co/cODCmiDplQ pic.twitter.com/wkqNvz1dFl
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) October 13, 2018
A new independent spending group tied to the billionaire Koch brothers has already spent millions of dollars on election ads but won’t reveal its funders until later this month.https://t.co/wPsbZyyOaQ
— Citizens for Ethics (@CREWcrew) October 13, 2018
Texas Democrat Beto O'Rourke raises a record $38 million in Senate race https://t.co/e879kRL15I. Follow @ReutersTV's midterm election coverage https://t.co/cODCmiDplQ pic.twitter.com/E2Ieor3yum
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) October 13, 2018
October polls: Dems mostly doing better than we thought in Clinton-won areas & Rs better than we thought in Trump-won areas.
Could be Kavanaugh…but it could also be the same “base homecoming” we’ve seen in the final weeks of pretty much every election in the past decade.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 13, 2018
Organizers expect about 350,000 demonstrators in downtown Chicago https://t.co/tJH7kK8zJ4
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) October 13, 2018
I don't think there's a ton of evidence to support this yet, but I am starting to wonder whether we're going to be really struck by the extent that the electorate became more polarized along the lines of the 2016 presidential election during the Kavanaugh nomination fight
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 13, 2018
I don't know what the future is, but I look at the decline in our response rates since '16, particularly among young voters, and find it hard not to wonder whether telephone polling is at the edge of viability https://t.co/H6PGj7NikA
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 13, 2018
Healthcare was single handedly the issue people brought up most during my last week on the road. From CA, to NV, IN, MO and FL. It didn’t matter if the state was red, blue, or purple. Folks care about coverage. https://t.co/V28xplvw6O
— Katy Tur (@KatyTurNBC) October 12, 2018
Comparison between 2014 and 2018 NC mail absentee ballot requests, by party registration, based on the number of days out from Election Day.
Will be important to watch how this trend continues over time, but traditionally GOP leads in mail absentee ballots:#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/sTAnNVXQY2
— Old North State Politics (@oldnorthstpol) October 13, 2018
So the Democratic chances in the Senate are as bad as ever, but in the Midwest they are dominating. It's not just about incumbents. Democrats may sweep the governor races as well. https://t.co/WKCoiOmUP0
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 13, 2018
Virginia Republican Party declares a Democratic House candidate “hates America.” This isn’t some outside group, this is the official party. https://t.co/9Z0XRbfmyq
— andrew kaczynski🧐 (@KFILE) October 13, 2018
If you’re an Indiana voter, you may have been purged… and this website will help you find out https://t.co/HniezY297o
— Salon (@Salon) October 14, 2018
Our analysis of the Indiana voter files shows 599,519 voters who were on the state voter rolls in October of 2016, and are no longer on the rolls – Indiana leads the nation with over 14% of registered voters from '16 no longer registered in Indiana. https://t.co/aMoO0pGpbw
— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) October 11, 2018
This is mind blowing. The Republicans are literally stealing the election in state after state. https://t.co/6lsznNJGaM
— Jonathan Alter (@jonathanalter) October 11, 2018
Indiana cancels nearly half a million voter registrations https://t.co/FqGpJLg40z
— Lynn Pappas (@LynnMPappas) October 11, 2018
There was also the Crosscheck Kobach mess. Thankfully, someone is watching out for these fascist moves. https://t.co/meKfLmD7jX
— Lisa Amor Petrov (@laprofe63) October 11, 2018
Indiana Voter Purge List 2018 – https://t.co/fSHuF9JecN
— Steven Hudson (@itsstevenhudson) October 9, 2018