Red states vs. blue states

California pays more in federal taxes than it gets back.

"The Texas Legislature ranks 10th in the nation for dependency on the federal government to pay for state spending… Imagine what would happen to Texas if the Legislature had to come up with $30 billion to make up for federal spending cuts?"From @cltomlinson.bsky.social's newsletter:

Keri Blakinger (@keribla.bsky.social) 2025-01-02T15:25:03.609Z

World leaders oppose US abortion ruling

I expect this to reduce interest in immigration to the US, too. That’s bad for the country but fine with Republicans.

Post-Supreme Court abortion decision polls

I think the big winner of the 1/6 hearings is Ron DeSantis

It certainly seems obvious that Trump is a criminal but I don’t think the Department of Justice will charge him. They’re concerned about dividing the country but that’s irrelevant for two reasons:

  1. The country is already polarized.
  2. Republicans don’t care about dividing the country. Look at the abortion decision which is very unpopular.

I do think the hearings weaken Trump’s standing within the GOP which helps potential rivals. Look at this poll:

Republicans can get Trump policies without Trump’s personal baggage by nominating DeSantis or someone similar. I do think DeSantis could win the 2024 presidential election as long as the economy has problems such as inflation. Democrats aren’t in love with Biden and there could be a nasty primary fight if he doesn’t run for re-election. I hate to say it but I think Ron DeSantis will be the next president. I despise him but I don’t think he’s a criminal. I think the only thing that could derail him is if Trump runs as an independent or does something else to sabotage DeSantis.

More on violence against pro-abortion rights protestors

The right-wing Supreme Court could give state legislatures the power to overturn elections

This is very dangerous. There is no bottom for the current Supreme Court. Four justices have indicated interest in hearing a case on the Republican-led idea

The terrible 2000 election Supreme Court decision was the beginning