So Trump says Abrams is not qualified, Gillum is a thief and Waters is low-IQ. See a pattern (besides no factual basis) ? He’s a racist!
2018 elections update – 11/2/18
updated 11/2/18
"With Trump in the White House and voters focused on the health policy details, Democrats are running for something popular and against something unpopular," argues @AnnieLowrey: https://t.co/SdlbgNR8mO
— The Atlantic (@TheAtlantic) November 2, 2018
Our Congressional model makes a fairly simple forecast of national turnout based on the number of voters who say they're more enthusiastic about voting than usual. That forecast is now pointing toward 101m votes cast for the House, up from 78m in 2014. Still could be too low.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2018
Huge (!) final day of early voting with around 115,000 Marylanders casting ballots in the general election. About 665,000 Marylanders voted this year during early voting — a 116% increase from 2014 when 307,646 people voted early. Election Day is Tuesday. https://t.co/cIJYM5caXa
— Luke Broadwater (@lukebroadwater) November 2, 2018
This is a unique election in which there will be big practical consequences if polls are off by even a relatively modest amount in *either* direction. Although a House-Senate split is the most likely outcome, there's still a 35-40% chance that one party wins both chambers.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 22, 2018
If I had to point to an area where the conventional wisdom is wrongest this year, it's in underestimating how wide the range of outcomes is in the House. Maybe 30-40 D pickups is the most likely range, but it doesn't take much to send us to 19 (R's keep House), or, say, 57.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 2, 2018
Wisconsin GOP SEN candidate Leah Vukmir has a whole release about Tammy Baldwin campaigning with "Pocahontas" pic.twitter.com/eGTFUyTWOe
— Aaron Blake (@AaronBlake) November 2, 2018
The most puzzling thing for me in this election (and the reason the scenario of Rs barely keeping/just barely losing the House keeps nagging at me) is this: the overall atmosphere isn't that atrocious for Republicans, and a lot of "big picture" signifiers of waves aren't here. 1/
— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) November 2, 2018
When I go district-by-district, I keep coming back to a place where the House isn't a coin flip as @SeanTrende suggests it might be, but we're probably not at a midpoint of Dems +38 as @FiveThirtyEight's model suggests either. https://t.co/gOdeGyK7xL
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2018
Look at all that green. Health care is the dominant issue in political ads this year. https://t.co/vBDfXzTwPD @pogkas @DavidIngold pic.twitter.com/9gmb9lCQlY
— Margot Sanger-Katz (@sangerkatz) November 2, 2018
If I had to point to an area where the conventional wisdom is wrongest this year, it's in underestimating how wide the range of outcomes is in the House. Maybe 30-40 D pickups is the most likely range, but it doesn't take much to send us to 19 (R's keep House), or, say, 57.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 2, 2018
If I had a few more polls, I think this would make the list (along with SC-1). The undecided voters in our first poll here were very Democratic friendly, too https://t.co/Kyckxz2x7f
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 2, 2018
GOP’s final midterm pitch: Dear white people — be very, very afraid https://t.co/BArw7bpg5g by @AmandaMarcotte
— (((DeanObeidallah))) (@DeanObeidallah) November 2, 2018
The battle in Florida between Ron DeSantis and Andrew Gillum is one of the tightest and most high-profile gubernatorial races of 2018. It’s also the ugliest. https://t.co/Vv5me0D65D pic.twitter.com/eMYH5xTqkl
— The New Republic (@newrepublic) November 2, 2018
"Trump’s closing emphasis on culture may represent a kind of triage for the GOP that effectively concedes large suburban losses in the House, but tries to protect more rural & blue-collar districts, as well as GOP Senate candidates in states also fitting the latter description." https://t.co/L2DnEwM8to
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) November 1, 2018
Trump lies about asylum seekers
In case you're listening to Trump, most asylum seekers released before an asylum hearing do actually show up as required. https://t.co/aoF1V0FFDJ
— Philip Bump (@pbump) November 1, 2018
It was repeated on Fox this morning. Ainsley Earhardt said she'd "heard it was only 2%." https://t.co/WzUINyUbin
— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) November 2, 2018
https://twitter.com/TheToddSchulte/status/1058099409790099456
Trump’s making more false statements than ever
I call them lies.
Trump’s rate of false or misleading claims has now reached 30 per day – over 3 times the previous pace. https://t.co/Gw6ll2PYz0
— Dan Eggen (@DanEggenWPost) November 2, 2018
The Washington Post Fact Checker is reporting that "in the seven weeks leading up the midterm elections, the President made 1,419 false or misleading claims, an average of 30 a day."https://t.co/DAGLAUoGjq
— Hardball (@hardball) November 3, 2018
6,420 false or misleading claims: https://t.co/1lPfBUnh4F. Every media outlet and every journalist should be rethinking the use of live coverage and "Trump said X" headlines (https://t.co/Rkvq8Nb5XJ) if their goal is actually to inform their readers/viewers. pic.twitter.com/lASos2l8Tw
— Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan) November 2, 2018
Last month, Donald Trump said 1,104 false or misleading things.
IN ONE MONTH. https://t.co/RCcaRJnlqD
— Chris Cillizza (@CillizzaCNN) November 2, 2018
California synagogue was vandalized
Verified @GoFundMe for Irvine synagogue defaced by anti-Semitic graffiti to increase security and hire a full time security guard for the next three years.https://t.co/uDZe1iC4NX https://t.co/ZgRTJ1vUxS
— Jake Tapper (@jaketapper) November 2, 2018
Sunday TV show panels are balanced
But congrats to @jaketapper and @CNNSotu for being genuinely fair and balanced. https://t.co/2edODCCYUR
— John Avlon (@JohnAvlon) November 2, 2018
There is no immigration crime crisis
Another racist lie!
Undocumented immigrants commit crimes at a lower rate than native born Americans. https://t.co/lQaovCzO63
— Renato Mariotti (@renato_mariotti) February 11, 2019
There is no immigration crisis. There is no surge in crime. It's just racist politics. https://t.co/earztoi9uf pic.twitter.com/9MoepXC42o
— Pedro Nicolaci da Costa (@pdacosta) June 27, 2018
update 11/2/18
Reminder: Immigration does not drive crime.
— The Marshall Project (@MarshallProj) November 2, 2018
Read more about the myth of the criminal immigrant in @annaflagg's story: https://t.co/in0cZ5nIOy pic.twitter.com/jEpX1DvvjD
update
The facts 👇
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 2, 2018
—Undocumented population has been mostly flat since 2007 https://t.co/pkJQSjxye8
—There's no evidence illegal immigration boosts violent crime https://t.co/ncK9RweInx
—First-generation immigrants commit less crime than native-born Americans https://t.co/imc0k8sqAu
update 11/6/18
▪️Sanctuary Cities
— The Marshall Project (@MarshallProj) November 6, 2018
For TMP context: The Trump administration repeatedly claims immigrants drive up crime rates.
But @AnnaFlagg found, using evidence from 200 cities and towns, that the premise is untrue. In fact, immigration tends to reduce crime. 11/https://t.co/in0cZ5nIOy
Wage growth is up but corporate profits are at an all-time high
Important point: Wage growth is at a 9-year high. But corporate profits are at an all-time high.
The reality is workers are still getting a small share of corporate income. We aren't seeing any signs that's changing, even in this strong economyhttps://t.co/iIPAEDvl6h #jobs pic.twitter.com/Y48sxkADJ6
— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) November 2, 2018
earlier this week:
U.S. workers are seeing the fastest wage increases in a decade.
Today's Employment Cost Index showed wages & salaries growing at 2.9%, the best in 10 years.
Friday's jobs report is likely to show wage growth over 3% for the 1st time since April 2009.https://t.co/odMblynqUM— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) October 31, 2018
• Good news: Non-college grad workers getting more job offers
• Bad news: Offers don't include salary bumps
• Question: If competition for workers is rising, why aren’t wages rising…yet? @gizemkosar @NewYorkFed @andrewvandam @wonkbloghttps://t.co/qgBKaBkboi #futureofwork pic.twitter.com/LjOXRTO3wv— Byron Auguste (@byron_auguste) October 17, 2018
Nigerian Army Uses Trump’s Words to Justify Fatal Shooting of Rock-Throwing Protesters
The Nigerian Army fatally opened fire on rock-throwing protestors this week. To justify their actions, they shared a video of a Donald Trump speech. https://t.co/u7zTOWbjON
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 2, 2018
Sickening. Under scrutiny from human rights orgs for firing on a crowd of protesters, the Nigerian Army tweets Trump from yesterday telling US troops that any migrants throwing rocks should be handled as if they are armed with “a rifle” 1/2 pic.twitter.com/2udS9fgAhm
— Samantha Power (@SamanthaJPower) November 2, 2018
The trash that Trump says as part of his bigoted, race-baiting campaign in America has effects around the world. The Nigerian army just pointed to Trump’s statement about considering shooting migrants to justify their own shootings of peaceful protesters. https://t.co/okjlVWJlZp
— Brian Klaas (@brianklaas) November 2, 2018
Cruz suggests O’Rourke is funding the caravan
of course not https://t.co/Q28Yd62tS9
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) November 2, 2018
Sad!
