Kavanaugh polls – 9/24/18 (updated 10/1/18)

Kavanaugh is unpopular but Republicans don’t care and will push the nomination through just like McConnell says.

More U.S. Voters Say Don’t Confirm #BrettKavanaugh, Poll Finds; More Voters Believe #ChristineBlaseyFord than #BrettKavanaugh https://t.co/zX0mWyat0n

— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) October 1, 2018

Poll: More Americans believe Christine Blasey Ford than Kavanaugh https://t.co/0jO8Gc3m5j pic.twitter.com/CdajLmOZZk

— The Hill (@thehill) October 1, 2018

Quinnipiac gave me data on how views of the Kavanaugh confirmation changed over the past month by party and gender.

Dem women are now 16 points more opposed to his confirmation on net. Independent women? 25 points. https://t.co/4N2NfgSW79

— Philip Bump (@pbump) October 1, 2018

ICYMI
Fox News: Record number of voters oppose Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court; more believe Christine Ford’s assault allegations than Kavanaugh’s denials (Dana Blanton, Fox News) details: https://t.co/QNZnHL53b6 pic.twitter.com/JEvLXeWHFv

— OpinionToday.com (@OpinionToday) September 25, 2018

Fox News poll has 50% of voters opposing Kavanaugh’s nomination, only 40% supporting it.

Again, that’s a Fox News poll. This isn’t looking good for Republicans.https://t.co/HDDt0F640m

— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) September 24, 2018

Most Supreme Court nominees are well-liked, but not Brett Kavanaugh… https://t.co/fzzctsnked pic.twitter.com/X6MWeyAIsA

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 22, 2018

More voters now oppose Kavanaugh's nomination than support it. Republicans should listen to the American people and reject Kavanaugh’s nomination. https://t.co/siLS3lFZL0

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 21, 2018

Also, 25% strongly support and 27% strongly oppose. So intense partisan feelings on both sides. https://t.co/7P2eklq7zF

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 20, 2018

From a new Reuters poll conducted 9/11-9/17:

Only 31% of Americans support Kavanaugh’s nomination. *Down* 6% from the poll last month.

Very interesting: Only 64% of *Republicans* said they were in favor of his nomination. https://t.co/y7SoJBnWSj

— andrew kaczynski🧐 (@KFILE) September 19, 2018

Change in views of Kavanaugh
——————————

July to August:
Support +1
Oppose +3

August to Sept:
Support +1
Oppose +9

Allow me to offer some serious expertise: That is not a good trend.https://t.co/2lIKTxxMOw

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 20, 2018

All polling in 2018 is immediately out of date, but the Fox poll released yesterday has Kavanaugh as big a motivation for Democrats in the midterms as for Republicans. https://t.co/o2D7hNKKcL

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 24, 2018

70mm film

good explanation of how it differs from 35mm

"But Music Box, what exactly IS 70MM?"
"We're glad you asked…." pic.twitter.com/su64U7On3y

— Music Box Theatre (@musicboxtheatre) September 21, 2018

Trump tariffs could cost 715,000 American jobs

President Trump's tariffs could mean a 2,000,000 drop in car sales and cost 715,000 American jobs, auto industry group warns. https://t.co/Dc2vV49F6H

— NBC News (@NBCNews) September 22, 2018

Another bad Trump aide

“only the best people”

Family values. https://t.co/3rZfa1HmBm

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) September 22, 2018

How long should appliances last?

Useful article from Reviewed

Great point about Trump. Jr.

For crying out loud, Trump’s son didn’t call the FBI when a Russian operative reached out to him. https://t.co/GWdcQsDVS3

— Michael Freeman (@michaelpfreeman) September 21, 2018

At this point, the Senate has shown significantly more deference to Facebook and Google’s hearing-scheduling requests than to Ford’s.

— Nick Confessore (@nickconfessore) September 21, 2018

What’s the rush?

The fact that Grassley and McConnell kept a Supreme Court seat open for 422 days to wait for the outcome of an election but won’t give Professor Ford an extra 24 hours to testify tells you all you need to know about the character of the Republican leadership.

— Andrew Weinstein (@Weinsteinlaw) September 21, 2018

Republicans will push the nomination through regardless of what happens at a hearing.

I’m a former US Attorney. If a judge/juror made a public statement that their mind was made up before all testimony is in, the trial would be prejudiced & I’d move for mistrial & have the judge removed.
Mr. Leader, is this the message we want to send to victims of sexual assault? https://t.co/dWHcaOHsG0

— Doug Jones (@DougJones) September 22, 2018

There has never been a Republican woman on the Judiciary Committee

Indeed, there's room for improvement. https://t.co/7RwM6nqxZY

— Carrie Cordero (@carriecordero) September 21, 2018

Carson’s crackpot theory

New: Trump HUD Secretary Ben Carson believes the Kavanaugh sexual assault allegations are part of a centuries old Socialist plot that began in England with something called the Fabian Society. https://t.co/ln3lGSlfC1

— Christina Wilkie (@christinawilkie) September 21, 2018

Obamacare

Obamacare is more popular than ever. Once it was implemented, people began to see the benefits of it such as protection for people with pre-existing conditions.

Now, Trump is lying and saying he will protect people with pre-existing conditions while his Justice Department is supporting an effort to end them.

This stuck me as a noteworthy (new, I think) claim tonight. https://t.co/jSWXWFE64c

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) September 21, 2018

In addition, Republican candidates are reducing criticism of it:

Fascinating reflection of how quickly the politics of Obamacare have changed. https://t.co/cSqzlhTXCE

— Margot Sanger-Katz (@sangerkatz) September 21, 2018

I’d go further. I think the experience of Obamacare has pushed Democrats—or at least many of their voters—left on a whole host of issues. The hunger for big, bold, public solutions is informed by a recognition that Republicans will demagogue everything as a “government takeover.” https://t.co/WJk53DGnyL

— b-boy bouiebaisse (@jbouie) September 14, 2018

9/21

Trump lies again about pre-existing conditions in his Missouri rally.

Trump: "I will always protect pre-existing conditions. And Josh Hawley will always protect pre-existing conditions.”

Trump's admin is arguing in court that the ACA's pre-existing protections should be voided. Hawley signed onto this same lawsuit seeking to strike down the ACA.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) September 22, 2018

On Obamacare:

Cruz: "I hear from Texans all over the state: I can't afford health insurance." But "every one of us agrees that pre-existing conditions need to be protected."

Texas is suing to kill the law in its entirety: https://t.co/bjiYgrXEOF

— Emma Platoff (@emmaplatoff) September 21, 2018

75 percent of voters said it’s “very important” to keep Obamacare’s insurance protections, according to a new poll, and there’s greater trust in Democrats to deal with the issue https://t.co/QKh9e5sETQ

— POLITICO (@politico) September 20, 2018

If you’re concerned about health care, you’ve got to get out the vote this November.

We must reduce the number of uninsured, enact meaningful controls on prescription drug costs, and ensure all with pre-existing conditions can obtain affordable coverage.https://t.co/PDS2ZaBSfY

— Mike Levin (@MikeLevinCA) September 22, 2018

Trump hits McCain for voting against Obamacare repeal just weeks after his death https://t.co/w8X1MZKtcf pic.twitter.com/VBEC8LXc1s

— The Hill (@thehill) September 22, 2018

Trump just attacked Heller's opponent, @RepJackyRosen, says she voted for "the disaster that we now know as Obamacare."

Only, she didn't. Because Rosen was not elected to Congress until 6 years after the ACA passed the House.

— Christina Wilkie (@christinawilkie) September 21, 2018

Democrats believe they have their best chance in years to flip crucial state attorney general seats by trumpeting the same message: Republicans are trying to take away your health care https://t.co/sxRXAMVFFe

— POLITICO (@politico) September 18, 2018

Trump lies about pre-existing conditions 10/1/18

Trump on pre-existing conditions: "A lot of people think it's not a very Republican thing. It is now. And it has been for me." As part of a GOP lawsuit trying to get the entire ACA blocked, Trump's administration is arguing that its pre-existing protections should be voided.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 1, 2018