Visualizing the Increasing Effect of Racial Resentment on Political Ideology among Whites, 1986 to 2016

New research note finds that racial resentment has shaped White political ideology since at least 1986 AND its effect was increasing substantially *before* the Trump candidacy. Shout out to @LilyMasonPhD whose work informed this project a great deal! https://t.co/vi4LHt14Hm

— Big Rome (@hoosierbluesman) September 22, 2018

Conservative lie on Supreme Court nominations

Looks like they forgot about Garland. Democrats never will.

I'm old enough to remember when Neil Gorsuch was not accused of crimes. That was 2017. https://t.co/or5jdKtVpt

— Blake Hounshell (powered by blockchain) (@blakehounshell) September 24, 2018

Merrick Garland https://t.co/hkbdYYSvA6

— Karine Jean-Pierre (@K_JeanPierre) September 24, 2018

“they” didn’t do it to Neil Gorsuch who also went to Georgetown Prep https://t.co/5t10xvw3rn

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) September 24, 2018

Serious question https://t.co/GoyuuuxL0j

— Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan) September 24, 2018

Mitch McConnell appears to have conveniently forgotten who Merrick Garland ishttps://t.co/9dxZxxradL pic.twitter.com/n9jfR3Rofh

— Chris Cillizza (@CillizzaCNN) September 24, 2018

Whatever one thinks of #Kavanaugh and allegations he's facing, surely "the total collapse of the traditional confirmation process" occurred when @SenateMajLdr refused to even consider Obama's nomination for a vacant #scotus seat https://t.co/zPMvlG52oO

— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) September 24, 2018

Politicizing the Supreme Court

It started with the decision in Bush v. Gore to end the 2000 Florida recounts. It was decided strictly based on which party appointed the justices. It was a very poor decision and cast doubt on the election.

In 2013, he Senate Democrats under Harry Reid eliminated the 60 vote threshold for justices except for the Supreme Court. I think he had to do this because Republicans were blocking Obama’s nominees. If he hadn’t, Trump would have even more judicial openings. Republicans stole a Supreme Court seat from Obama and I will never forgive them. This has really politicized the process.

Now that Republicans are in charge, they have eliminated the “blue slip” tradition.

They eliminated the threshold for Supreme Courts justices. They are picking extreme conservatives (Gorsuch and Kavanaugh). If there is a vacancy in the last year of Trump’s presidency (2020), it would be extremely wrong and hypocritical if Republicans tried to fill it.

At some point in the future, Democrats will have a chance to select Supreme Court justices. Their base will demand that they pick extreme liberals.

30 or 40 years from now, the Court will be all extreme liberals and conservatives and there will be no moderates or compromises. Every decision will be along party lines. You can thank the Republicans for this.

The Supreme Court Is Coming Apart

The Kavanaugh nomination is another big step in the politicization of the Supreme Court

If Durbin thinks Democrats should have let McConnell maintain a total blockade on filling judicial seats under Obama, he should not be in his position at all. That is insane. https://t.co/xu0GycxZXf

— Jonathan Chait (@jonathanchait) September 25, 2018

I don't think it's possible to overstate the damage McConnell's treatment of Merrick Garland did to the Supreme Court's long-term stability. Among liberals, there's a real view that nothing that's followed has been legitimate. https://t.co/VRAhA1nE2I

— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) September 24, 2018

It’s obvious today that Kavanaugh can’t be fair.

Even if Senate GOP unifies 2 confirm #Kavanaugh, John Roberts faces the reality that every 5/4 GOP-Justice decision will be decided-and thus shadowed-by a nominee who openly expressed disdain for Dems, left, Clintons. Already eroded, #SCOTUS legitimacy is pointed toward crisis. https://t.co/8GZ1HKSeB5

— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) September 27, 2018

I think the talk of a legitimacy crisis for the Court has been overblown, but after today, a Justice Kavanaugh would mean the mask that judicial ideology does not (most of the time) completely overlap with partisanship would be fully removed.https://t.co/I3hmfXScOv

— John Kastellec (@JKastellec) September 27, 2018

This is the nominee for whom most, if not all, of the Republicans in the Senate will be voting.

Not an impartial jurist. A career partisan making angry threats to get revenge on Democrats in his confirmation hearings. https://t.co/K2NfS12Qys

— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) September 28, 2018

Facts on NAFTA and trade

Fact-checkers in the U.S., Canada and Mexico tackle some of the most common false and misleading claims about trade, tariffs and NAFTA. Here is our contribution to this North American fact-checking initiative. https://t.co/JDQSOHTGYj #TradeFacts #NAFTAcheck

— FactCheck.org (@factcheckdotorg) September 24, 2018

On Sept. 17, @realDonaldTrump announced a new round of tariffs on $200 billion more of Chinese goods. That’s only the latest salvo in an ongoing trade dispute with China and other U.S. trading partners. Here's our breakdown: https://t.co/7Ywk2h3bbi pic.twitter.com/yCvBkYXH9a

— PolitiFact (@PolitiFact) September 24, 2018

"NAFTA was a disaster…," President Donald Trump said. "We lost millions of jobs. NAFTA was a disaster." https://t.co/1UDJpoU4cF #NAFTAcheck #TradeFacts pic.twitter.com/3KlUssJ00d

— PolitiFact (@PolitiFact) September 24, 2018

>@realDonaldTrump said under NAFTA "We lost thousands of plants." The United States saw a loss of more than 80,000 manufacturing establishments from 1994 through 2014. The president's claim rates Mostly True: https://t.co/Z4G4rl2mUB #NAFTAcheck #TradeFacts pic.twitter.com/mjSBDj31EZ

— PolitiFact (@PolitiFact) September 24, 2018

another Trump lie

https://t.co/440gWeU2Dc pic.twitter.com/VekYr6VyRQ

— Share the Facts (@sharethefact) September 24, 2018

Trump administration’s extreme immigration policies

Another example of extremist Trump administration immigration policies

An Illinois priest living legally in the U.S. for 14 years is being deported — over a single vote he shouldn’t have cast https://t.co/J4So6j55Wu

— Washington Post (@washingtonpost) September 24, 2018

A retired Episcopal priest in southwestern Illinois is facing deportation to his native England for what he says was mistakenly voting 12 years ago. https://t.co/9Jy88qsQH1

— CBS Chicago (@cbschicago) September 20, 2018

Voter suppression

In 2017, 99 bills to limit voting have been introduced in 31 states. America calls itself a democracy, but elected officials are actively working to make democratic participation harder.

Listen to @ProfCAnderson on the myth of American democracy: https://t.co/xCCWcsZ6xh

— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) September 24, 2018

Kavanaugh polls – 9/24/18 (updated 10/1/18)

Kavanaugh is unpopular but Republicans don’t care and will push the nomination through just like McConnell says.

More U.S. Voters Say Don’t Confirm #BrettKavanaugh, Poll Finds; More Voters Believe #ChristineBlaseyFord than #BrettKavanaugh https://t.co/zX0mWyat0n

— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) October 1, 2018

Poll: More Americans believe Christine Blasey Ford than Kavanaugh https://t.co/0jO8Gc3m5j pic.twitter.com/CdajLmOZZk

— The Hill (@thehill) October 1, 2018

Quinnipiac gave me data on how views of the Kavanaugh confirmation changed over the past month by party and gender.

Dem women are now 16 points more opposed to his confirmation on net. Independent women? 25 points. https://t.co/4N2NfgSW79

— Philip Bump (@pbump) October 1, 2018

ICYMI
Fox News: Record number of voters oppose Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court; more believe Christine Ford’s assault allegations than Kavanaugh’s denials (Dana Blanton, Fox News) details: https://t.co/QNZnHL53b6 pic.twitter.com/JEvLXeWHFv

— OpinionToday.com (@OpinionToday) September 25, 2018

Fox News poll has 50% of voters opposing Kavanaugh’s nomination, only 40% supporting it.

Again, that’s a Fox News poll. This isn’t looking good for Republicans.https://t.co/HDDt0F640m

— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) September 24, 2018

Most Supreme Court nominees are well-liked, but not Brett Kavanaugh… https://t.co/fzzctsnked pic.twitter.com/X6MWeyAIsA

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 22, 2018

More voters now oppose Kavanaugh's nomination than support it. Republicans should listen to the American people and reject Kavanaugh’s nomination. https://t.co/siLS3lFZL0

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 21, 2018

Also, 25% strongly support and 27% strongly oppose. So intense partisan feelings on both sides. https://t.co/7P2eklq7zF

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 20, 2018

From a new Reuters poll conducted 9/11-9/17:

Only 31% of Americans support Kavanaugh’s nomination. *Down* 6% from the poll last month.

Very interesting: Only 64% of *Republicans* said they were in favor of his nomination. https://t.co/y7SoJBnWSj

— andrew kaczynski🧐 (@KFILE) September 19, 2018

Change in views of Kavanaugh
——————————

July to August:
Support +1
Oppose +3

August to Sept:
Support +1
Oppose +9

Allow me to offer some serious expertise: That is not a good trend.https://t.co/2lIKTxxMOw

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 20, 2018

All polling in 2018 is immediately out of date, but the Fox poll released yesterday has Kavanaugh as big a motivation for Democrats in the midterms as for Republicans. https://t.co/o2D7hNKKcL

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 24, 2018

70mm film

good explanation of how it differs from 35mm

"But Music Box, what exactly IS 70MM?"
"We're glad you asked…." pic.twitter.com/su64U7On3y

— Music Box Theatre (@musicboxtheatre) September 21, 2018

Trump tariffs could cost 715,000 American jobs

President Trump's tariffs could mean a 2,000,000 drop in car sales and cost 715,000 American jobs, auto industry group warns. https://t.co/Dc2vV49F6H

— NBC News (@NBCNews) September 22, 2018

Another bad Trump aide

“only the best people”

Family values. https://t.co/3rZfa1HmBm

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) September 22, 2018