Republicans now viewed slightly more favorably than Democrats

45% of Americans view the Republican Party favorably, the highest rating in 7 years. https://t.co/Tq1pMVmNsv pic.twitter.com/2hLoW3mZWj

— GallupNews (@GallupNews) September 24, 2018

Just less than half of Americans said they have a favorable view of the Republican Party, a Gallup poll finds — the highest favorable view of the GOP since January 2011, when the party hit 47% immediately after retaking Congress during the 2010 midterms. https://t.co/lW2bocd6Rg pic.twitter.com/VYFKL4YNVq

— CNN (@CNN) September 24, 2018

Gallup: Favorable views of the Republican party reach a seven year high at 45%, topping the favorable views of Democrats (44%) for the first time since 2014. pic.twitter.com/gr946wWxLs

— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) September 24, 2018

Gallup: Favorable views of the Republican party are up 9 points from a year ago, jumping from 36% in September 2017 to 45% today.

The jump comes heavily from within the party (from 67% to 85%) along with a 13% increase among men. pic.twitter.com/RUjblUXPYJ

— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) September 24, 2018

Poll on the Mueller investigation

Democrats increasingly express no confidence that Donald Trump will handle Robert Mueller's investigation properly. Republicans, by contrast, have become less confident Mueller will conduct a fair investigation. https://t.co/W6Re496dTd pic.twitter.com/Gqj03k9MH6

— Pew Research Fact Tank (@FactTank) September 24, 2018

Kavanaugh polls – 9/24/18 (updated 10/1/18)

Kavanaugh is unpopular but Republicans don’t care and will push the nomination through just like McConnell says.

More U.S. Voters Say Don’t Confirm #BrettKavanaugh, Poll Finds; More Voters Believe #ChristineBlaseyFord than #BrettKavanaugh https://t.co/zX0mWyat0n

— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) October 1, 2018

Poll: More Americans believe Christine Blasey Ford than Kavanaugh https://t.co/0jO8Gc3m5j pic.twitter.com/CdajLmOZZk

— The Hill (@thehill) October 1, 2018

Quinnipiac gave me data on how views of the Kavanaugh confirmation changed over the past month by party and gender.

Dem women are now 16 points more opposed to his confirmation on net. Independent women? 25 points. https://t.co/4N2NfgSW79

— Philip Bump (@pbump) October 1, 2018

ICYMI
Fox News: Record number of voters oppose Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court; more believe Christine Ford’s assault allegations than Kavanaugh’s denials (Dana Blanton, Fox News) details: https://t.co/QNZnHL53b6 pic.twitter.com/JEvLXeWHFv

— OpinionToday.com (@OpinionToday) September 25, 2018

Fox News poll has 50% of voters opposing Kavanaugh’s nomination, only 40% supporting it.

Again, that’s a Fox News poll. This isn’t looking good for Republicans.https://t.co/HDDt0F640m

— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) September 24, 2018

Most Supreme Court nominees are well-liked, but not Brett Kavanaugh… https://t.co/fzzctsnked pic.twitter.com/X6MWeyAIsA

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 22, 2018

More voters now oppose Kavanaugh's nomination than support it. Republicans should listen to the American people and reject Kavanaugh’s nomination. https://t.co/siLS3lFZL0

— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 21, 2018

Also, 25% strongly support and 27% strongly oppose. So intense partisan feelings on both sides. https://t.co/7P2eklq7zF

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 20, 2018

From a new Reuters poll conducted 9/11-9/17:

Only 31% of Americans support Kavanaugh’s nomination. *Down* 6% from the poll last month.

Very interesting: Only 64% of *Republicans* said they were in favor of his nomination. https://t.co/y7SoJBnWSj

— andrew kaczynski🧐 (@KFILE) September 19, 2018

Change in views of Kavanaugh
——————————

July to August:
Support +1
Oppose +3

August to Sept:
Support +1
Oppose +9

Allow me to offer some serious expertise: That is not a good trend.https://t.co/2lIKTxxMOw

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 20, 2018

All polling in 2018 is immediately out of date, but the Fox poll released yesterday has Kavanaugh as big a motivation for Democrats in the midterms as for Republicans. https://t.co/o2D7hNKKcL

— Philip Bump (@pbump) September 24, 2018

40% don’t think elections are fair

40% of Americans think elections aren't fair. Well they're not. Republican legislatures/secretaries of state keep making it harder to vote. They see the handwriting on the wall, if you let people vote power will shift. Let's keep voting, we will win!https://t.co/S17Kp7f8hZ

— Judith Browne Dianis (@jbrownedianis) September 17, 2018

Majority of Trump voters believe his lie/conspiracy theory on Puerto Rico deaths

New HuffPost/YouGov poll: about a quarter of the public buys into Trump's conspiracy theory about hurricane deaths. Numbers remarkably consistent whether or not context (including his lack of basis for the claim) is provided. https://t.co/U9dRUA76pd pic.twitter.com/JAE6I0h1OE

— Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy) September 18, 2018

Obama-Trump voters

1: In light new WI poll, I see some are discussing how Dems are winning back Obama-Trump voters (@HotlineJosh @HeerJeet @Bencjacobs). We did some research on OT voters in early 2017 for @prioritiesUSA. A look back at it provides interesting insight into what's happening today…

— Nick Gourevitch (@nickgourevitch) September 18, 2018

3: All Obama-Trump voters align with Dems on need to protect Medicare & Social Security, and on health care access for all (maybe why you continue to see ads on that!?) Only the strong OT voters cared deeply about immigration and trade. pic.twitter.com/CTq0EOeTlY

— Nick Gourevitch (@nickgourevitch) September 18, 2018

5: The reluctant Obama-Trump voter was willing to give him a shot way back in early 2017 but didn't have confidence he'd be a good President. Wanna bet these numbers have shifted bigly since we did this in February of 2017? pic.twitter.com/0Td8XhPjDL

— Nick Gourevitch (@nickgourevitch) September 18, 2018

7: The list of things that concerned reluctant Obama-Trump voters about what the President might do is like a list of things that have happened… tried to repeal Obamacare, will cut programs people depend on, tax on imports, he'll act like a maniac, etc. pic.twitter.com/g4QGTQjjdj

— Nick Gourevitch (@nickgourevitch) September 18, 2018

58% oppose Trump’s border wall

ICYMI
Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
ALL
Support 38%
Oppose 58%
REP.
Support 78%
Oppose 17%
DEM.
Support 7%
Oppose 90%
IND.
Support 32%
Oppose 65%
(Quinnipiac U. Poll, RV, 8/9-13/18)
more: https://t.co/nf4JAwcrG1

— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 15, 2018

Poll on NFL players kneeling

Regardless of whether or not you approve of the protests, do you think NFL players have the right to protest in this way?
ALL
Yes 67%
No 30%
REP.
Yes 39%
No 60%
DEM.
Yes 88%
No 11%
IND.
Yes 68%
No 28%
(Quinnipiac U. Poll, RV, 9/6-9/18)https://t.co/1IqykCws6v

— PollingReport.com (@pollreport) September 14, 2018

Almost half the country supports impeachment

Impeachment will fail in the Senate. Not enough Republicans would vote to convict, no matter how much evidence there is that Trump should be removed.

I want indictments, even if we have to wait until 1/20/21. If Cohen committed crimes with the payoffs, didn’t Trump commit them too?

WaPo/ABC poll has support for Trump impeachment at 49%. New CNN poll out today has it at 47%. Dem leaders not embracing impeachment in the campaign, GOP using impeachment threat to rile up their base. Beyond the politics,, about half of US voters want Trump removed from office.

— Marshall Cohen (@MarshallCohen) September 12, 2018

Trump’s approval dips in new polls

It's not just CNN's poll. All polling shows Trump's approval rating dropping. | Analysis by @ForecasterEnten https://t.co/dxY8IYuOrE pic.twitter.com/EeZ86er7fS

— CNN (@CNN) September 11, 2018

Four major recent polls put Trump's approval in the 30s:

CNN: 36/58 (new)

Quinnipiac: 38/54 (new)

WaPo/ABC: 38/60

Kaiser: 37/59

(h/t @DavidWright_CNN)

— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) September 10, 2018

CNN POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS
Sept. 6-9
Unfavorable Opinion of
Donald Trump

Now June
Republicans 18% 15%
Independents 65% 55%
Democrats 92% 87%

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) September 10, 2018

Two polls today have POTUS below 40 percent. Still a long way till November, but that’s a danger zone. https://t.co/gIBnrPn0TO

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) September 10, 2018

I count… Eight… Count em eight live interview polls finished in the last 2 weeks… Each one has Trump's approval dropping from the last poll.

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 10, 2018

two new polls today affirm sag in Trump’s standing:

Quinnipiac – 38% approve,
54% disapprove

Gallup – 40% approve, 54% disapprove

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) September 10, 2018

Trump's approval drops looks real to me… Got a number of high quality polls that have Trump's approval rating in the 30s… If that is correct and holds, we may be looking at more like a 40+ seat gain for the Dems come November… https://t.co/RqrrPAGVsa

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 5, 2018